Aggregate Economic Variables and Votes for Congress
A Rejoinder
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 7594607 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Francisco Arcelus, F J Arcelus, Allan H Meltzer |
| Year | 1975 |
| Volume | 69 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 1266-1269 |
| Publication date | 1975-12-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/1955286 |
| OpenAlex | W1964785189 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 13 |
| References cited | 2 |
Our interest in the effect of aggregate economic variables on election results began in 1970 following a conversation with an administration official that we have reported elsewhere. We doubted both the implicit theory of voting behavior and the ability of the administration to achieve rates of inflation and unemployment even close to the ranges mentioned. We take this opportunity to note that the unemployment rate was higher and the inflation rate substantially higher than the adviser's estimate, but President Nixon was reelected. At the time, the principal econometric evidence of the effects of aggregate economic variables was a study by Kramer. Kramer found evidence of an effect of real income, but despite (or perhaps because of) the flaws in his procedure, he found no evidence of an effect of inflation or unemployment. Furthermore, then and now, most of the reported evidence pertains to congressional not presidential elections and to votes for congressmen, not seats in the Congress
Administration (probate law · Aggregate (composite · Conversation · Economics · Inflation (cosmology · Keynesian economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Political science · Politics · Presidential system · Principal (computer security · Unemployment · Unemployment rate · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Psychology
Self-Interest and Public Interest in Western Politics
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President
Econometric analyses of electoral behavior
The Historical Significance of Economic Voting, 1872–1996
More on the vote winning and vote losing qualities of minimum wage laws
New Zealand General Elections
Taxes and Voting
Using social indicators to forecast partisan alignments in congressional election years
Trend in Personal Finances and the Vote
God of vengeance and of reward
Toward a social indicators model of aggregate American political behavior
On the Issues Surrounding Economic Voting
Partisanship Reinstated? A Comparison of the 1972 and 1976 U.S. Presidential Elections
| Citations per year | 0.27 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 1977 - 1999 (23) |
| Highly cited | No |