A Note on the Easterlin Model of Fertility in Northwestern Europe and the United States

1950-1981

Bibliographic Data

ID7727508
AuthorsAllen Jan Baird (corresponding author)
Year1987
Volume28
Issue1
Pages57-68
Publication date1987-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueComparative Sociology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1569-1322 • E-ISSN: 1569-1330
PublisherWalter de Gruyter GmbH (PUBLISHER • DE)
DOI10.1163/156854287x00059
OpenAlexW2054767885
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited10

This paper tests a multivariate time series model of West European fertility change based on Easterlins social and economic analysis of post-1945 fertility trends in the United States. Results indicate that fertility trends in Western Europe during the years 1950-1981 are associated with relative unemployment levels and in some countries with age specific labor force supply constraints. Ex-post forecasts of fertility are generated up to 1981 for England and Wales France Sweden and the United States. The difficulties with providing ex-ante forecasts are discussed. (EXCERPT

Demographic economics · Developed country · Economic growth · Economics · Ex-ante · Fertility · Geography · Macroeconomics · Population · Sociology · Unemployment · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Economic Growth and Productivity · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

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