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Unpacking the European Commission's fiscal policy response to crisis

Mapping and explaining economic ideas in the European Semester 2011–2022

Bibliographic Data

ID7880958
AuthorsRachel Graham (0009-0002-5726-5221, Irish Department of Foreign Affairs, Permanent Representation of Ireland to the European Union, Brussels, Belgium), Martijn Schoonvelde (0000-0003-4370-2654, University of Groningen, corresponding author), Marij Swinkels (0000-0002-4093-337X, Utrecht University)
Year2024
Volume31
Issue11
Pages3591-3616
Publication date2024-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of European Public Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1350-1763 • E-ISSN: 1466-4429
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13501763.2023.2274347
OpenAlexW4388222125
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited56

In this paper, we examine how and why the European Commission's ideas on fiscal policy have changed over the course of the European Semester. Empirically, we rely on a semi-supervised scaling approach to identify economic ideas as they appear in Semester documents from the aftermath of the financial crisis onwards (2011-2022). Our findings demonstrate a gradual shift in ideas from an ordoliberal to a Keynesian direction, especially during the overlapping Von der Leyen and Covid-19 crisis years. We identify substantial country-specific differences throughout 2011–2022, with some countries receiving exclusively Keynesian recommendations, and others distinctively ordoliberal ones. These patterns can be explained in part by economic conditions in those member states but not by the public's trust in the EU. These results underscore the reactive nature of the Commission's economic ideology; crises, as well as member states’ economic conditions, shape the direction of its fiscal policy recommendations

Commission · Economic policy · Economics · European commission · European debt crisis · European integration · European union · Financial crisis · Fiscal policy · Ideology · Macroeconomics · Political science · Politics · Unpacking · Corruption and Economic Development · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance

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Unique citing works6
Citations per year2
Citation span2023 - 2026 (4)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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