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Does Public Debt Affect Economic Growth? Panel Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe

Bibliographic Data

ID7973314
AuthorsMilena Konatar (0000-0002-9684-4376, corresponding author), Jovan Đurašković, Julija Cerović Smolović (0000-0001-9547-1750), Milivoje Radović
Year2022
Volume70
Issue5
Pages574-596
Publication date2022-12-05
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePolitická ekonomie (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-3233 • E-ISSN: 2336-8225
PublisherPrague University of Economics and Business (PUBLISHER • CZ)
DOI10.18267/j.polek.1365
OpenAlexW4311624079
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited36

The paper employs a form of the panel ARDL-based error correction model (ECM) to explore the short-run and long-run relationship between public debt (and certain macroeconomic variables) and economic growth in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. It covers the period 2006Q1−2018Q4. The results indicate both short-term and long-term causality (except for financial development), though the marginal effects are variable-specific. There is a negative effect of public debt, interest rate and exchange rate on growth, whereas the saving rate, trade openness, financial development, fixed capital formation and population growth contribute to economic development. Thus, a responsible and saving-oriented fiscal policy, coupled with higher private sector investment, an export-oriented private sector and undervalued real exchange rate, and population growth would contribute to economic development in CEE countries

Affect (linguistics) · Debt · Development economics · Economic policy · Economics · International economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Panel data · Economic and Fiscal Studies · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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