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Estimating the co-variates of age at marriage and first birth

Bibliographic Data

ID7980105
AuthorsJames Trussell (0000-0002-1417-7849, Princeton University), David E Bloom (0000-0003-3731-3345, Harvard University Press)
Year1983
Volume37
Issue3
Pages403-416
Publication date1983-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.1983.10408869
OpenAlexW2126985577
LanguageEN
Citations received22
References cited7

The purpose of this paper is to explore how best to estimate the co-variates of age at marriage or age at first birth. Some investigators have approached this problem by estimating separate schedules for different classifications of the population. However, such attempts cannot have a truly multivariate flavour since cell sizes become small as ambitious cross-classification is attempted. We examine two competing models, one an extension of that proposed by Coale and McNeil and the other, proportional hazards, arising from the analysis of failure time data. Their performance is contrasted on WFS data for Colombia. The conclusion we reach is that both methods perform well; which is chosen depends upon the purpose of the analysis and the type of data available. Specifically, the proportional hazards method cannot be applied to data on ever-married women only and cannot be used to project the experience of incomplete cohorts. However, Coale and McNeil's extended model is harder to estimate since software is not so readily available

Demographic analysis · Econometrics · Extension (predicate logic) · Fertility · Multivariate analysis · Multivariate statistics · Population · Sociology · Statistics · Birth, Development, and Health · Computer Science · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics

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    Open Access•David E Bloom, Anne R Pebley•Population Research and Policy…•1982

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    Open Access•David E Bloom•Demography•1982

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  • The Divergence of Black and White Marriage Patterns

    Neil G Bennett, David E Bloom et al.•American Journal of Sociology•1989

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Unique citing works22
Citations per year0.5
Citation span1982 - 2010 (29)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 12

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