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Covariance in diurnal patterns of suicide-related expressions on Twitter and recorded suicide deaths

Bibliographic Data

ID8018941
AuthorsRobert A Fahey (0000-0002-6231-2881, Waseda University, corresponding author), Jeremy Boo (University of Michigan), Minoru Ueda (0000-0001-6552-8090, Waseda University)
Year2020
Volume253
Pages112960-112960
Publication date2020-03-24
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocial Science & Medicine (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0277-9536 • E-ISSN: 1873-5347
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.socscimed.2020.112960
PMID32251933
OpenAlexW3013667214
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited24

Social media data is increasingly used to gain insights into trends in mental health, but prior studies aimed at confirming a link between online expression of suicidal ideation on social media and actual suicide deaths have been inconclusive. Using comprehensive six-year data sets of Twitter posts and suicide deaths in Japan, we examine the diurnal relationship between the proportional incidence of a suicide-related keyword, "kietai" ("I want to disappear"), and suicide deaths with an OLS regression model. We also use co-occurrence analysis to reveal changes in the linguistic context of the suicide-related keyword at different hours of the day. We find a clear diurnal pattern in the use of this suicide-related keyword, peaking between 1am and 5am. This diurnal trend is positively correlated with suicide deaths among younger cohorts (ages 15 to 44), but the correlation is negative among older adults (45 and over). The correlation among young adults strengthens when a delay between tweet incidence and suicide deaths is included. Compared to daytime tweets, nighttime tweets exhibited a stronger relationship between words related to self-disgust and words directly indicating suicidal intent. This study confirms the hypothesised link between online suicidal ideation and suicide death. Despite frequent flippant use of the keyword, the consistent correlation and the diurnal changes in the context of the keyword's usage demonstrate the value of social media data to the study of mental health trends in groups at risk of suicide

Covariance · Environmental health · Injury prevention · Medical emergency · Occupational safety and health · Poison control · Psychiatry · Sociology · Statistics · Suicide prevention · Demography · Digital Mental Health Interventions · Human Factors and Ergonomics · Mathematics · Medicine · Mental Health via Writing · Psychology · Suicide and Self-Harm Studies

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year1,4
Citation span2021 - 2025 (5)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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