From Low-Cost Flights to the Ballot Box
How Eastern European Migration Shaped Far-Right Voting in London
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 8030465 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Elena Pupaza (0000-0003-3079-0616, London School of Economics and Political Science), Joachim Wehner (0000-0002-1951-308X, London School of Economics and Political Science) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 85 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 1214-1228 |
| Publication date | 2023-03-14 |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Journal of Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3816 • E-ISSN: 1468-2508 |
| Publisher | University of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1086/724968 |
| OpenAlex | W4324132244 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 30 |
We examine patterns of migration and far-right voting in London following the eastern enlargement of the European Union in 2004 and 2007. To address immigrant sorting, we draw on transport and geography scholarship about migration to develop an instrumental variable approach. Our data set combines ward-level election and census information with georeferenced data on preexisting bus stops providing access to low-cost flight connections with the new European Union states. We estimate a large positive effect of Eastern European migration on changes in support for anti-immigrant parties between the 2004 and 2012 London Assembly elections. Our analysis suggests that concerns about affordable housing were a channel through which this migration affected support for the populist right but not the main fascist party. Our study highlights the utility of distinguishing different migrants and far-right parties, contributes evidence from Britain on how migration affects local elections, and offers a methodological alternative to the shift-share instrument
Ballot · Census · Demographic economics · Economics · European union · Far right · Geography · Georeference · Immigration · International trade · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Scholarship · Sociology · Voting · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Migration, Refugees, and Integration · Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Brexit
Immigration and Voting for the Far Right
Immigration and electoral support for the far-left and the far-right
Refugee Migration and Electoral Outcomes
Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior
Bartik Instruments
A Practitioner’s Guide to Cluster-Robust Inference
Immigration and Conflict in Europe
Contact versus Exposure
Immigrants and Travel Demand in the United States
New Europe, new low-cost air services
Going steerage on Ryanair
The air transport market in Central and Eastern Europe after a decade of liberalisation – Different paths of growth
Residential trajectories of high-skilled transnational migrants in a global city
The Fiscal Effects of Immigration to the UK
Connecting historical studies of transport, mobility and migration
Explaining Variation In The Success Of Extreme Right Parties In Western Europe
What Unites Right-Wing Populists in Western Europe
Far Right Parties in Europe
Housing and populism
How Distributional Conflict over In-Kind Benefits Generates Support for Far-Right Parties
No Country for Asylum Seekers? How Short-Term Exposure to Refugees Influences Attitudes and Voting Behavior in Hungary
Waking Up the Golden Dawn
Local Immigration and Support for Anti‐Immigration Parties
They Take Our Houses
Did Austerity Cause Brexit
Acceptable and Unacceptable Immigrants
Global Competition and Brexit
| Citations per year | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2024 - 2025 (2) |
| Highly cited | No |