Seeds of good anthropocenes
Developing sustainability scenarios for Northern Europe
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 8045908 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Ciara Raudsepp-Hearne (0000-0001-8472-971X, McGill University, autor correspondente), Glen D Peterson (0000-0003-0173-0112, Stockholm Resilience Centre), Edward M Bennett (0000-0003-3944-2925, McGill University), Reinette Biggs (0000-0003-0300-4149, Stockholm University), Albert V Norström (0000-0002-0706-9233, Stockholm Resilience Centre), Laura Pereira (0000-0002-4996-7234, Stellenbosch University), Joost Vervoort (0000-0001-8289-7429, Utrecht University), David M Iwaniec (0000-0002-0410-4152, Georgia State University), Timon Mcphearson (0000-0002-9499-0791, Stockholm Resilience Centre), P Olsson (0000-0002-9038-4786, Stockholm Resilience Centre), Tanja Hichert (0000-0002-2169-1790, Stellenbosch University), Marianne Falardeau (0000-0002-4428-0695, McGill University), Amanda Jiménez-Aceituno (0000-0002-5950-4751, Stockholm Resilience Centre) |
| Ano | 2019 |
| Volume | 15 |
| Fascículo | 2 |
| Páginas | 605-617 |
| Data de publicação | 2019-07-09 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Sustainability Science (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 1862-4057 • E-ISSN: 1862-4065 |
| Editora | Springer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11625-019-00714-8 |
| OpenAlex | W2960003280 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 50 |
| Referências citadas | 39 |
Scenario development helps people think about a broad variety of possible futures; however, the global environmental change community has thus far developed few positive scenarios for the future of the planet and humanity. Those that have been developed tend to focus on the role of a few common, large-scale external drivers, such as technology or environmental policy, even though pathways of positive change are often driven by surprising or bottom-up initiatives that most scenarios assume are unchanging. We describe an approach, pioneered in Southern Africa and tested here in a new context in Northern Europe, to developing scenarios using existing bottom-up transformative initiatives to examine plausible transitions towards positive, sustainable futures. By starting from existing, but marginal initiatives, as well as current trends, we were able to identify system characteristics that may play a key role in sustainability transitions (e.g., gender issues, inequity, governance, behavioral change) that are currently under-explored in global environmental scenarios. We suggest that this approach could be applied in other places to experiment further with the methodology and its potential applications, and to explore what transitions to desirables futures might be like in different places
Environmental change · Scenario planning · Transformative learning · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
How stable are visions for protected area management? Stakeholder perspectives before and during a pandemic
Fostering ocean empathy through future scenarios
From fAIrplay to climate wars
Biosphere Futures
Radical changes are needed for transformations to a good Anthropocene
Dimensions for evaluating how art and creative practice stimulate societal transformations
The living infinite
The co-production of sustainable future scenarios
Integrating existing climate adaptation planning into future visions
The future of utopian narratives
The Ecological Root Metaphor for Higher Education
Sustaining scenarios
Governance by and of Imagination
The Anthropocene Concept in the Natural and Social Sciences, the Humanities and Law – A Bibliometric Analysis and a Qualitative Interpretation (2000–2020)
Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments
Envisioning nature-positive futures for Europe
Exploring desirable nature futures for Nationaal Park Hollandse Duinen
The voices of youth in envisioning positive futures for nature and people
Assessing nature’s contributions to people in a peri-urban protected area, southeast Brazil
Perceived contributions of multifunctional landscapes to human well‐being
Beyond Green capitalism
The Blue Acceleration
Boundaries of the future
Learning from the future
Conceptualising global cultural transformation—developing deep institutional scenarios for whole of society change
Mapping, characterisation, and analysis of initiatives with transformative capacity
Forms of participatory futuring for urban sustainability
The politics of adaptiveness in agroecosystems and its role in transformations to sustainable food systems
Imagining Transformation
The role of values in future scenarios
Co-creating cultural narratives for sustainable rural development
How to run a sustainability science research group sustainably
Unstable bridges—exploring the possibilities for “in between” spaces amidst divergent narratives in environmental governance
Futures for invasive alien species management
Linking multiple values of nature with future impacts
Disruptive seeds
Recognizing our authors
Using the three horizons approach to explore pathways towards positive futures for agricultural landscapes with rich biodiversity
From youth engagement to policy insights
Strategic foresight analysis for the management of land-sea interface in a climate change context
Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios
Applying the Three Horizons approach in local and regional scenarios to support policy coherence in SDG implementation
Creating local storylines for climate mitigation and adaptation with policymakers across Europe
A decolonial and participatory research approach to envision equitable transformations toward sustainability in the Amazon
Leveraging value-based pathways for Indigenous food security through participatory scenario planning
Between continuous presents and disruptive futures
Relational visioning and the emerging future
Picture the future, play the present
Recipe for a scenario
Anticipating futures through models
Scenario Planning
Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture
Systems integration for global sustainability
Bright spots
Multiscale scenarios for nature futures
The multiple faces of social entrepreneurship
A new scenario framework for climate change research
Sustainability Transitions Research
Closing yield gaps through nutrient and water management
Solutions for a cultivated planet
Food in the Anthropocene
Will Democracy Survive Big Data and Artificial Intelligence
Positive visions for guiding urban transformations toward sustainable futures
Quality criteria for visions and visioning in sustainability science
Biodiversity and ecosystem services require Ipbes to take novel approach to scenarios
A perspective on radical transformations to sustainability
A novel approach for co-producing positive scenarios that explore agency
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
Plausible and desirable futures in the Anthropocene
Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments
Navigating alternative framings of human-environment interactions
Imagining transformative futures
Synchronized peak-rate years of global resources use
Using futures methods to create transformative spaces
Designing transformative spaces for sustainability in social-ecological systems
Three horizons
Value-based scenario planning
Studying the complexity of change
The Politics of International Assessments
| Obras citantes distintas | 50 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 8,33 |
| Intervalo de citações | 2020 - 2026 (7) |
| Velocidade de citação | current |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 46 |