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Partial Convergence and Approximate Truth

Bibliographic Data

ID8399004
AuthorsDuncan Macintosh (corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume45
Issue1
Pages153-170
Publication date1994-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjps/45.1.153
OpenAlexW2047635595
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited4

Scientific Realists (SRs) argue that it would be a miracle if scientific theories were getting more predictive without getting closer to the truth; so they must be getting closer to the truth. Van Fraassen, Laudan et al. argue that owing to the underdetermination of theory by data (UDT) for all we know, it is a miracle, a fluke. So we should not believe in even the approximate truth of theories. I argue that there is a test for who is right: suppose we are at the limit of inquiry. Suppose that we then have all the logically possible theories that are adequate to all the actual data. If they all resembled in their theoretical claims, since one of them must be true, all of them would then resemble it, whichever it is. We would thus be justified in saying they all approximated the truth in the degree to which they co-resembled. If they don't all co-resemble, the SRs are wrong; more predictive theories are not necessarily closer to the theoretical truth. Prior to the limit, if, in spite of our best efforts to the contrary, all the theories we can make adequate to current data tend to co-resemble, we have inductive warrant for thinking more predictive theories are closer to the truth. If they don't resemble, we have inductive warrant for thinking that more predictive theories are not necessarily closer to the truth.

Economics · Epistemology · Limit (mathematics) · Miracle · Philosophy of science · Underdetermination · Warrant · Biomedical Text Mining and Ontologies · Mathematics · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Science and Climate Studies

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    Ilkka Niiniluoto•Critical Scientific Realism…•2002

  • Verisimilitude

    Ilkka Niiniluoto•The British Journal for the…•1998

  • Is Partial-Dimension Convergence a Problem for Inferences from MCMC Algorithms

    Open Access•Jeff Gill•Political Analysis•2008

  • A Confutation of Convergent Realism

    Open Access•Larry Laudan•Philosophy of Science•1981

  • The Inference to the Best Explanation

    Gilbert H Harman, Gilbert Harman•The Philosophical Review•1965

Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,14
Citation span1998 - 2010 (13)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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