Cliometric Metatheory III
Peircean Consensus, Verisimilitude and Asymptotic Method
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 8399136 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Paul E Meehl (University of Minnesota, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2004 |
| Volume | 55 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 615-643 |
| Publication date | 2004-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537 |
| Publisher | Oxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1093/bjps/55.4.615 |
| OpenAlex | W1967100766 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 26 |
Statistical procedures can be applied to episodes in the history of science in order to weight attributes to predict short-term survival of theories; an asymptotic method is used to show that short-term survival is a valid proxy for ultimate survival; and a theoretical argument is made that ultimate survival is a valid proxy for objective truth. While realists will appreciate this last step, instrumentalists do not need it to benefit from the actuarial procedures of cliometric metatheory. 1. Introduction2. A plausible proxy for Peircean consensus3. Assessing the validity of theory attributes as predictors of theory survival3.1 Linear discriminant function3.2 Factor analysis3.3 Taxometric analysis4. Verisimilitude index5. Satisfying both instrumentalists and realists6. Recapitulation7. Implementation of cliometric metatheory
Argument (complex analysis) · Calculus (dental) · Epistemology · Mathematical economics · Metatheory · Proxy (statistics) · Statistics · Verisimilitude · Advanced Text Analysis Techniques · Computer Science · Mathematics · Medicine · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Statistics Education and Methodologies
The Significance Test Controversy
Clinical versus statistical prediction
Theoretical risks and tabular asterisks
Relations Between Two Sets of Variates
Bootstrap Methods
Appraising and Amending Theories
The Methodology of Scientific Research Programmes
Why Summaries of Research on Psychological Theories are Often Uninterpretable
Taxometric Analysis
Cliometric Metatheory
How to Weight Scientists' Probabilities Is Not a Big Problem
The accuracy of predictions
The miracle argument for realism
Using Meta-Scientific Studies to Clarify or Resolve Questions in the Philosophy and History of Science
Mind and the World-Order
Bootstraps taxometrics
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making
Verisimilitude
Construct validity in psychological tests
Linear models in decision making
| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,83 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2026 (7) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 5 |