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Testing Routine Activity Theory

Behavioural Pathways Linking Temperature to Crime

Bibliographic Data

ID8400516
AuthorsChristopher L Thomas (0000-0001-6804-5318, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, corresponding author), Christopher Thomas (0000-0002-0346-2417), Jinuk Jeong (0009-0000-2108-2322, John Jay College of Criminal Justice), Kevin T Wolff (0000-0001-5383-2976, John Jay College of Criminal Justice)
Year2025
Volume65
Issue4
Pages859-877
Publication date2025-08-24
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe British Journal of Criminology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0007-0955 • E-ISSN: 1464-3529
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjc/azae091
OpenAlexW4405448073
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited69

This study examines direct observations of outdoor routine activities to investigate the pathways through which temperatures shape crime. Daily administrative records of crime, weather and outdoor activity were assembled from 2015 to 2019 in New York City. Mediation analysis (with bootstrapped standard errors) reveals that alterations in routine activities account for a statistically significant, yet modest, proportion of temperature’s relationship with homicides, shootings, assaults, larceny and public consumption violations. The comparable mediation effects across violent and nonviolent crimes support routine activity theory as an explanatory framework for understanding temperature’s impact on crime. The measures introduced here offer a novel approach for testing the theory and suggest other potential applications

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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