A realistic assessment of fluvial and coastal flood risk in England and Wales
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 8962582 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Edmund C Penning‐rowsell (0000-0002-5333-8641, Flood Hazard Research Centre Middlesex University London NW4 4BT, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2014 |
| Volume | 40 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 44-61 |
| Publication date | 2014-03-20 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0020-2754 • E-ISSN: 1475-5661 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/tran.12053 |
| OpenAlex | W2029687827 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 7 |
| References cited | 9 |
Accurate national‐scale economic assessments of flood risk should, first, allow policy and resource allocation to be determined sensibly by relating both to the scale of that risk and, second, provide a benchmark against which any possible future changes in risk can be assessed. This paper critiques the UK's National Flood Risk Assessment ( NAFRA ), its development for England and Wales over a decade, and its evaluation of economic fluvial and coastal flood risk. We find, when comparing the results with other data on flooding and the damage caused over 20 + years (including insurance claims), that NAFRA appears to overestimate the economic risk by between four‐ and five‐fold (i.e. at c .£1.1bn p.a., as opposed to a central estimate here of £0.25bn p.a.). The flood problem faced is still serious, and may be increasing, but we suggest that an exaggeration has become embedded. The assessment models and their data need further enhancement if this situation is to be corrected and a realistic assessment made of the scale of the current fluvial and coastal flood risk. Only then will the results be adequately credible and hence useful
Archaeology · Business · Cartography · Climate change · Coastal flood · Computer security · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Exaggeration · Flood myth · Flood risk assessment · Flood risk management · Flooding (psychology · Floodplain · Fluvial · Geography · Resource (disambiguation · Risk analysis (engineering · Risk assessment · Scale (ratio · Sea level rise · Water resource management · Agricultural risk and resilience · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Geology · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Oceanography
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Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios
Environmental vulnerability and resilience
Geographies of UK flooding in 2013/4
| Citations per year | 0.58 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2014 - 2020 (7) |
| Highly cited | No |