Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Coincidence

A word with two meanings for explaining and predicting the future

Bibliographic Data

ID8975346
AuthorsMelanie S Archer (0000-0002-4632-775X, Department of Sociology Warwick University Coventry UK, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume54
Issue3
Pages354-365
Publication date2024-01-25
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal for the Theory of Social Behaviour (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0021-8308 • E-ISSN: 1468-5914
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/jtsb.12405
OpenAlexW4391229429
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited15

Connecting the critical realist morphogenetic model to insights made by Nicholas Rescher, this paper argues that our predictions are always subject to chance and contingency but nevertheless ineluctably useful for both practical and scientific inquiry. Contingency results from the causal openness of the world, including the causal openness of our own decision‐making. On the other hand, as Rescher notes, human interaction would fail without a degree of stability, which makes the predictions of morphostatic relations if not lawlike at least predictable in a practical sense. Nor is it just habit that makes for morphostasis. Human agents strive reflectively to produce in morphostatic ways the human goods they have created by their interaction. And beyond individual actors, there is, from the critical realist point of view, the combined effects of structure and culture inclining at least in the short‐term to reliably predictable if not lawlike outcomes. With that background, the paper reflects on the dual role of coincidence in social theory, on the one hand signalling contingency and the other on what, according to the active causal mechanisms, generally co‐occur

Cognitive psychology · Coincidence · Contingency · Economics · Epistemology · Openness to experience · Positive economics · Sociology · Subject (documents · Computer Science · Contemporary Sociological Theory and Practice · Critical Realism in Sociology · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Psychology · Social Psychology

  • Ontological unpredictability

    Open Access•Ismael Al‐amoudi•Journal for the Theory of Social…•2023

  • Everything, everywhere, but not all at once? Time, contingency and the open future

    Open Access•Jamie Morgan•Journal for the Theory of Social…•2023

  • Introduction

    Open Access•Melanie S Archer, Margaret S Archer•Late Modernity•2014

  • Does Intensive Morphogenesis Foster Human Capacities or Liabilities

    Open Access•Melanie S Archer, Margaret S Archer•Morphogenesis and Human Flourishing•2017

  • Late Modernity

    Open Access•Melanie S Archer, Margaret Scotford Archer•Late Modernity•2014

  • Morphogenesis and the Crisis of Normativity

    Open Access•Melanie S Archer, Margaret Archer et al.•Morphogenesis and the Crisis of…•2016

  • Realist Social Theory

    Open Access•Melanie S Archer, Margaret Scotford Archer•Realist Social Theory•1995

  • Understanding “plausibility”

    Open Access•Sergio Urueña•Futures•2019

  • Critical Realism and Concrete Utopias

    Melanie S Archer, Margaret S Archer•Journal of Critical Realism•2019

  • Philosophical purpose and purposive philosophy

    Nicholas Rescher, Jamie Morgan•Journal of Critical Realism•2019

  • The Myth of Cultural Integration

    Melanie S Archer, Margaret S Archer•British Journal of Sociology•1985

  • Cultural System or norm circles? An exchange

    Open Access•Melanie S Archer, Dave Elder-Va et al.•European Journal of Social Theory•2012

  • The Structure of Contingency

    Ivan Ermakoff•American Journal of Sociology•2015

Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,67
Citation span2023 - 2023 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

Tools

Open DOI
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae