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Improving Risk Equalization Using Multiple-year High Cost as a Health Indicator

Bibliographic Data

ID9101261
AuthorsRichard C van Kleef (0000-0002-8971-6341, Ministry of Health Welfare and Sport), René C J A Van Vliet (Ministry of Health Welfare and Sport)
Year2012
Volume50
Issue2
Pages140-144
Publication date2012-02-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueMedical Care (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0025-7079 • E-ISSN: 1537-1948
PublisherOvid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1097/mlr.0b013e31822ebf8b
PMID21945975
OpenAlexW1982254914
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited13

BACKGROUND: More and more competitive health insurance markets use risk equalization to compensate health plans for the predictable high costs of chronically ill enrollees. In the presence of premium rate restrictions, an important goal of risk equalization is to reduce incentives for selection, while maintaining incentives for efficiency. The literature shows, however, that even the most sophisticated risk equalization models--which include both diagnoses-based and pharmacy-based indicators of health status--do not reduce incentives for selection sufficiently. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study is to examine the extent to which a sophisticated risk-equalization model can be improved by using multiple-year high cost as a health indicator. The idea is that health plans receive an additional compensation for enrollees whose costs were in the top-15% in each of the 3 preceding years, assuming that this group contains a substantial overrepresentation of people with a chronic condition. RESEARCH DESIGN: We examine 3 types of additional compensation: (1) retrospective compensation, (2) fixed prospective compensation, and (3) continuous prospective compensation. SUBJECTS: We use individual-level information on medical costs and risk characteristics from the period 2004 to 2007 for almost the entire Dutch population. MEASURES: The effect on selection incentives is measured by predictive ratios for subgroups of enrollees who were undercompensated in previous years. The effect on efficiency incentives is quantified by the relationship between cost and compensation. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: All 3 modalities substantially reduce incentives for selection, but--to some extent--also reduce incentives for efficiency. With respect to these criteria, the continuous prospective compensation outperforms the other 2 modalities

Actuarial science · Business · Compensation (psychology) · Economics · Environmental health · Family medicine · Incentive · Microeconomics · Risk analysis (engineering) · Risk compensation · Selection (genetic algorithm) · Selection bias · Computer Science · Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life · Healthcare Policy and Management · Healthcare Systems and Reforms · Medicine · Pharmacy · Psychology

  • Diagnosis-based Cost Groups in the Dutch Risk-equalization Model

    Frank Eijkenaar, René C J A Van Vliet et al.•Medical Care•2018

  • Risk Adjustment in Health Insurance Markets

    Open Access•Richard C van Kleef, René C J A Van Vliet et al.•Medical Care•2024

  • A new prevention paradox

    Open Access•Tim A Kanters, Werner Brouwer et al.•Social Science & Medicine•2013

  • Prior Use of Durable Medical Equipment as a Risk Adjuster for Health-Based Capitation

    Open Access•Richard C van Kleef, René C J A Van Vliet•INQUIRY The Journal of Health…•2010

  • Health-Based Risk Adjustment

    Open Access•Femmeke J Prinsze, René C J A Van Vliet•INQUIRY The Journal of Health…•2007

  • Pharmacy- and Diagnosis-Based Risk Adjustment for Children With Medicaid

    Karen Kuhlthau, Timothy G Ferris et al.•Medical Care•2005

  • The Medicaid Rx Model

    Todd Gilmer, Richard Kronick et al.•Medical Care•2001

  • Diagnostic, Pharmacy-Based, and Self-Reported Health Measures in Risk Equalization Models

    Piet Stam, Pieter J A Stam et al.•Medical Care•2010

  • Risk Adjustment Using Automated Ambulatory Pharmacy Data

    Paul Fishman, Paul A Fishman et al.•Medical Care•2003

  • Pharmacy Costs Groups

    Leida M Lamers•Medical Care•1999

Citations per year0.23
Citation span2013 - 2024 (12)
Highly citedNo

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