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Probabilistic Mapping of Descriptive Health Status Responses Onto Health State Utilities Using Bayesian Networks

An Empirical Analysis Converting SF-12 Into EQ-5D Utility Index in a National US Sample

Bibliographic Data

ID9101268
AuthorsQuang A Le (0000-0002-4968-9334, Western University of Health Sciences, corresponding author), Jason N Doctor (0000-0003-3661-8745, University of Southern California)
Year2011
Volume49
Issue5
Pages451-460
Publication date2011-05-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueMedical Care (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0025-7079 • E-ISSN: 1537-1948
PublisherOvid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1097/mlr.0b013e318207e9a8
PMID21422961
OpenAlexW2036067016
LanguageEN
Citations received9

BACKGROUND: As quality-adjusted life years have become the standard metric in health economic evaluations, mapping health-profile or disease-specific measures onto preference-based measures to obtain quality-adjusted life years has become a solution when health utilities are not directly available. However, current mapping methods are limited due to their predictive validity, reliability, and/or other methodological issues. OBJECTIVES: We employ probability theory together with a graphical model, called a Bayesian network, to convert health-profile measures into preference-based measures and to compare the results to those estimated with current mapping methods. METHODS: A sample of 19,678 adults who completed both the 12-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-12v2) and EuroQoL 5D (EQ-5D) questionnaires from the 2003 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey was split into training and validation sets. Bayesian networks were constructed to explore the probabilistic relationships between each EQ-5D domain and 12 items of the SF-12v2. The EQ-5D utility scores were estimated on the basis of the predicted probability of each response level of the 5 EQ-5D domains obtained from the Bayesian inference process using the following methods: Monte Carlo simulation, expected utility, and most-likely probability. Results were then compared with current mapping methods including multinomial logistic regression, ordinary least squares, and censored least absolute deviations. RESULTS: The Bayesian networks consistently outperformed other mapping models in the overall sample (mean absolute error=0.077, mean square error=0.013, and R overall=0.802), in different age groups, number of chronic conditions, and ranges of the EQ-5D index. CONCLUSION: Bayesian networks provide a new robust and natural approach to map health status responses into health utility measures for health economic evaluations

Algorithm · Bayesian network · Bayesian probability · Descriptive statistics · Econometrics · Probabilistic logic · State (computer science) · Statistical model · Statistics · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Global Health Care Issues · Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life · Mathematics

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Citations per year0.64
Citation span2012 - 2024 (13)
Highly citedNo

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