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Adapting the Rx-Risk-V for Mortality Prediction in Outpatient Populations

Bibliographic Data

ID9102503
AuthorsMichael L Johnson (0000-0002-4018-4647, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, corresponding author), Hashem B El-Serag, Hashem B El‐Serag (0000-0001-5964-7579, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, corresponding author), Tung Thomas Tran (Baylor College of Medicine), Christine Hartman (0000-0003-1301-7189, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, corresponding author), Peter Richardson (0000-0002-3349-345X, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, corresponding author), Neena S Abraham (0000-0002-8532-6354, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, corresponding author)
Year2006
Volume44
Issue8
Pages793-797
Publication date2006-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueMedical Care (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0025-7079 • E-ISSN: 1537-1948
PublisherOvid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1097/01.mlr.0000218804.41758.ef
PMID16862043
OpenAlexW2076590137
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited21

OBJECTIVES: We sought to operationalize, test, and validate an outpatient pharmacy-based case-mix adjuster. METHODS: Outpatients from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) prescribed a nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) or cyclooxygenase-2 selective drug during 2002 were identified. We updated and extended the Rx-Risk-V by adding 26 additional disease categories and mapping them to VA drug-class codes; derived empirical weights for each from a logistic model of 1-year mortality; adjusted for age, race and sex; and scored the weights into 1 measure of comorbidity. We compared the weighted score to the Deyo diagnosis-based comorbidity index and validated it in a national cohort of 260,321 outpatients with chronic heart failure (CHF). RESULTS: One-year mortality among the 724,270-outpatient NSAID cohort was 1.6% (n = 11,766). Using a baseline model of age, race, and gender (c-index = 0.716), we found that the Deyo measure improved the prediction of mortality (c-index = 0.765), and the pharmacy comorbidity score further improved the prediction (c-index = 0.782), an increase of 25.8%. Using both, we found further improvement (c-index = 0.792). Among the CHF cohort, 9.7% (n = 25,251) died within 1 year. Performance of the baseline model controlling for age, race, and gender (c index = 0.620) improved with addition of the pharmacy comorbidity score (c index = 0.689), compared with the addition of the Deyo measure (c index = 0.651), an increase of 55.1%. Together, they slightly improved prediction in CHF patients (c index = 0.695). CONCLUSIONS: The updated and extended Rx-Risk-V is useful for case-mix adjustment of mortality in an outpatient population

Cohort · Cohort study · Comorbidity · Family medicine · Physical therapy · Veterans Affairs · Chronic Disease Management Strategies · Internal Medicine · Machine Learning in Healthcare · Medicine · Pharmaceutical Practices and Patient Outcomes · Pharmacy

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,31
Citation span2013 - 2017 (5)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4
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