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Pushing the Limits of AMS Radiocarbon Dating with Improved Bayesian Data Analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID9245097
AuthorsVesa Palonen (0000-0001-9589-7989), P Tikkanen
Year2007
Volume49
Issue3
Pages1261-1272
Publication date2007-01-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueRadiocarbon (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0033-8222 • E-ISSN: 1945-5755
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0033822200043174
OpenAlexW1590993930
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited11

We present an improved version of the continuous autoregressive (CAR) model, a Bayesian data analysis model for accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS). Measurement error is taken to be Poisson-distributed, improving the analysis for samples with only a few counts. This, in turn, enables pushing the limit of radiocarbon measurements to lower concentrations. On the computational side, machine drift is described with a vector of parameters, and hence the user can examine the probable shape of the trend. The model is compared to the conventional mean-based (MB) method, with simulated measurements representing a typical run of a modern AMS machine and a run with very old samples. In both comparisons, CAR has better precision, gives much more stable uncertainties, and is slightly more accurate. Finally, some results are given from Helsinki AMS measurements of background sample materials, with natural diamonds among them

Accelerator mass spectrometry · Autoregressive model · Bayesian probability · Radiocarbon dating · Statistics · Computer Science · Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping · Isotope Analysis in Ecology · Mathematics · Metabolomics and Mass Spectrometry Studies · Artificial Intelligence · Geology · Paleontology

  • Establishing a Firm Chronological Framework for Neolithic and Early Dynastic Archaeology in the Shangluo Area, Central China

    Open Access•Yizhi Zhu, Peng Cheng et al.•Radiocarbon•2010

  • Using car4ams, the Bayesian AMS Data Analysis Code

    Open Access•Vesa Palonen, P Tikkanen et al.•Radiocarbon•2010

  • Bayesian Data Analysis

    Andrew Gelman, John B Carlin et al.•Bayesian Data Analysis•2003

  • Probability Theory

    Open Access•E T Jaynes, G Larry Bretthorst•Probability Theory•2003

  • General Methods for Monitoring Convergence of Iterative Simulations

    Stephen P Brooks, Andrew Gelman•Journal of Computational and…•1998

  • Inference from Iterative Simulation Using Multiple Sequences

    Andrew Gelman, Donald B Rubin•Statistical Science•1992

  • An Information-Efficient Bayesian Model for AMS Data Analysis

    Open Access•Vesa Palonen, P Tikkanen•Radiocarbon•2007

Citations per year0.13
Citation span2010 - 2010 (1)
Highly citedNo

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