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A Stable System of Mutual Nuclear Deterrence in the Arab-Israeli Conflict

Bibliographic Data

ID9435455
AuthorsSteven J Rosen (Australian National University, corresponding author)
Year1977
Volume71
Issue4
Pages1367-1383
Publication date1977-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/1961485
OpenAlexW4238206598
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited13

Many professional observers have come to the conclusion that, despite denials and technical problems whose solutions are not publicly known, Israel already has nuclear weapons or has completed all but the final steps in their fabrication. It is also widely believed that one or more Arab states will come into atomic possession within a 10 to 15 year time frame. The present analysis explores the consequences of the establishment of a regional mini-balance of terror. The central hypothesis is that apocalyptic images and doomsday visions have been accepted too readily and out of proportion to the arguments that are given, and that a stable system of mutual deterrence may be viable in the Middle East and may make a positive contribution to the process of political settlement. Problems of rationality, credibility, second-strike force survivability, escalation, tactical nuclear weapons, accidents, permissive action links, terrorism, preventive war, and the disclosure of nuclear weapons possession are discussed

Computer security · Credibility · Deterrence theory · Law and economics · Nuclear weapon · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Possession (linguistics · Rationality · Sociology · Terrorism · Bacillus and Francisella bacterial research · Computer Science · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · Law · Nuclear Issues and Defense

  • Non‐conventional weapons and the future of Arab‐Israeli deterrence

    Avner Yaniv•Israel Affairs•1995

  • Beyond deterrence

    Open Access•Kyungkook Kang, Jacek Kugler•Conflict Management and Peace…•2023

  • Proliferation and critical risk

    Wallace J Thies•Journal of Strategic Studies•2000

  • Prospects for non‐proliferation

    Shai Feldman•Survival•1981

  • The Science and Technology Gap in the Arab-Israeli Conflict

    A B Zahlan•Journal of Palestine Studies•1972

  • Nuclear Proliferation and the Spread of New Conventional Weapons Technology

    R Burt•International Security•1977

  • Salt

    Jeffrey Simon, Mason Willrich et al.•The Western Political Quarterly•1974

  • The United States and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons

    John F Copper, William B Bader•The Western Political Quarterly•1969

  • The land‐mobile ICBM system

    Desmond Ball, Desmond J Ball et al.•Survival•1977

  • Nuclear Theft

    Mason Willrich, Theodore B Taylor•Survival•1974

  • American Views of Soviet Russia 1917-1965

    W Bentinck-Smith, Peter G Filene•The Russian Review•1969

  • The Hidden History of the Korean War

    F C Jones, I F Stone•International Affairs•1953

  • Theater Nuclear Weapons

    Open Access•Colin S Gray•World Politics•1976

  • Can Proliferation Now Be Stopped

    George H Quester•Foreign Affairs•1974

  • Nuclear Proliferation and the Near-Nuclear Countries

    Frank Langdon, Frank C Langdon et al.•Pacific Affairs•1976

Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,09
Citation span1981 - 2023 (43)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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