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China, India and the US

Shifting Economic Power

Bibliographic Data

ID9647873
AuthorsPrabhat Patnaik (0000-0001-5862-8659), Manmohan Agarwal (0000-0002-9299-4537, The Centre for International Governance Innovation Waterloo, Ontario, corresponding author)
Year2011
Volume47
Issue3
Pages179-200
Publication date2011-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueChina Report (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0009-4455 • E-ISSN: 0973-063X
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/000944551104700301
OpenAlexW1966302182
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited8

Despite developing countries accounting for an increasing share of world income and exports, no significant shift in the ranks of the 25 largest economies by GDP has occurred between 1965 and 2007. And only China, and perhaps India but none of the other large developing economies, would account for a significantly higher share of world income by 2025 or 2050. Furthermore, in terms of per capita income, India would continue to remain relatively poor. We then find that there was no significant shift in economic power between 1990 and 2005 on the basis of an index formed from about 20 indicators of economic power. Next we measured how far countries were from the US on the basis of these indicators. Practically all countries, particularly the European ones, had substantially reduced the lead of the US. But China and India starting far away had moved only slightly closer to the US. The ability to generate new technology is a major factor in the power rankings. China had reduced the lead of the US in technology generating factors whereas India had almost stagnated. Consequently, China’s prospects of increasing its power were better than India’s

China · Developing country · Development economics · Economic growth · Economic power · Economics · Geography · Gross domestic product · Index (typography · International trade · Per capita income · Political science · Demography · Economic and Technological Innovation · Economic Growth and Productivity · Global trade and economics

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0.08
Citation span2014 - 2014 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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