Relative Cohort Size and Age‐specific Arrest Rates

The demographic theory formulated by Richard Easterlin (1980) predicts a positive relationship between the relative size of birth cohorts and their rates of criminal offending. Extensive testing of this hypothesis has produced scant support in the literature. Drawing on the emerging conditional interpretation of the Easterlin effect, we propose that the impact of fertility decline on the criminal behavior of the Baby Bust generation may have been suppressed by changes in family structure and racial differences in fertility. Although finding support for this argument, particularly in models explaining property crime, in the final analysis, our research underscores the marginal nature of the Easterlin effect as an explanation of criminal behavior

Argument (complex analysis · Bust · Economics · Fertility · Interpretation (philosophy · Population · Sociology · Agricultural risk and resilience · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Engineering · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology

• Homicide by men in Japan, and its relationship to age, resources and risk taking

  Open Access•Mariko Hiraiwa-Hasegawa, Mariko Hiraiwa‐hasegawa•Evolution and Human Behavior•2005

  Incluir item

• A Common Explanation for the Changing Age Distributions of Suicide and Homicide in the United States, 1930 to 2000

  R M O''Brien, Robert M O’brien et al.•Social Forces•2006

  Incluir item

• Social inequality in alternative sanctions

  Open Access•Thomas Anton Sandøy, Ståle Østhus et al.•European Journal of Criminology•2023

  Incluir item

• Cohort Variation in U.S. Violent Crime Patterns from 1960 to 2014

  Open Access•Yunmei Lu, Liying Luo•Journal of Quantitative Criminology•2021

  Incluir item

• Social Change, Cohort Effects, and Dynamics of the Age–Crime Relationship

  Open Access•Myunghee You•Journal of Quantitative Criminology•2024

  Incluir item

• How Cohorts Changed Crime Rates, 1980–2016

  Open Access•William Spelman•Journal of Quantitative Criminology•2022

  Incluir item

• Visualizing Changes in the Age-Distributions of Homicides in the United States

  Open Access•Robert M O’brien•Journal of Quantitative Criminology•2023

  Incluir item

• Race Differences in Cohort Effects on Non-Marital Fertility in the United States

  J Stockard, J A Gray et al.•Social Forces•2009

  Incluir item

• The Enduring Influence of Cohort Characteristics on Race-Specific Homicide Rates

  Open Access•M Vogel, Kristina Thompson et al.•Social Forces•2020

  Incluir item

• Interpreting “Percent Black”

  Joanne Savage•Journal of Ethnicity in Criminal…•2006

  Incluir item

• The Relationship Between Underage Alcohol Possession and Future Criminal Behavior

  Open Access•Chris Barnum, Nick J Richardson et al.•SAGE Open•2012

  Incluir item

• The Vanishing Killer

  David T Johnson•Social Science Japan Journal•2006

  Incluir item

• Delayed Adulthood, Delayed Desistance? Trends in the Age Distribution of Problem Behaviors

  Open Access•Sarah R Hayford, F F Furstenberg•Journal of Research on Adolescence•2008

  Incluir item

• Variations in Age-Specific Homicide Death Rates

  Open Access•Robert M O’brien, J Stockard•Social Science Research•2002

  Incluir item

• Cohort Variations and Changes in Age-Specific Suicide Rates over Time

  J Stockard, Robert M O’brien•Social Forces•2002

  Incluir item

• Macro‐historical influences, cohort dynamics, and the (in)stability of the age–crime distribution

  Open Access•Byunggu Kang, M Vogel•Criminology•2024

  Incluir item

• Cohort Variations in Suicide Rates among Families of Nations

  Open Access•J Stockard, Robert M O’brien•International Journal of…•2006

  Incluir item

• Age, Period and Cohort Differences Between the Homicide Trends of Canada and the United States

  Open Access•Mateus Rennó Santos, Yunmei Lu et al.•The British Journal of Criminology•2021

  Incluir item

• Cohort Effects on Suicide Rates

  J Stockard, Robert M O’brien•American Sociological Review•2002

  Incluir item

• Why birth cohorts commit crime at different rates

  Open Access•William Spelman•Social Science Research•2022

  Incluir item

• Crime and Demography

  J South, Scott J South et al.•Annual Review of Sociology•2000

  Incluir item

• Fortunes of Dragons

  Sumit Agarwal, Wenlan Qian et al.•Population Studies•2021

  Incluir item

• Cohort Analysis in Social Research

  Open Access•William M Mason, Stephen E Fienberg•Cohort Analysis in Social Research•1985

  Incluir item

• The Ucr‐ncs Relationship Revisited

  Open Access•Alfred Blumstein, Jacqueline Cohen et al.•Criminology•1992

  Incluir item

• UCR and NCS

  Open Access•Scott Menard, Herbert C Covey•Journal of Criminal Justice•1988

  Incluir item

• Comparing the Ucr and NCS Over Time

  Open Access•David Mcdowall, Colin Loftin•Criminology•1992

  Incluir item

• Trend and Deviation in Crime Rates

  Open Access•Alfred Blumstein, Jacqueline Cohen et al.•Criminology•1991

  Incluir item

• Relative Cohort Size and Age‐specific Crime Rates

  Open Access•Robert M O’brien, Robert M O'Brien•Criminology•1989

  Incluir item

• Police Productivity and Crime Rates

  Open Access•Robert M O’brien, Robert M O'Brien•Criminology•1996

  Incluir item

• Are Uniform Crime Reports a Valid Indicator of the Index Crimes? An Affirmative Answer With Minor Qualifications

  Open Access•Walter R Gove, Michael Hughes et al.•Criminology•1985

  Incluir item

• Cohort Size and Arrest Rates Over the Life Course

  Darrell Steffensmeier, Cathy Streifel et al.•American Sociological Review•1992

  Incluir item

• Relative Cohort Size and Youth Crime in the United States, 1953-1984

  Darrell Steffensmeier, Cathy Streifel et al.•American Sociological Review•1987

  Incluir item

• Some Methodological Issues in Cohort Analysis of Archival Data

  Karen Oppenheim Mason, William M Mason et al.•American Sociological Review•1973

  Incluir item

• Estimable Functions of Age, Period, and Cohort Effects

  Willard L Rodgers•American Sociological Review•1982

  Incluir item

• Relative Cohort Size and Fertility

  F C Pampel•American Sociological Review•1993

  Incluir item

• What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data

  Open Access•Niels Beck, Nathaniel Beck et al.•American Political Science Review•1995

  Incluir item

• Cohort Size and Juvenile Delinquency

  Paul Maxim, Paul S Maxim•Social Forces•1985

  Incluir item

• The Era of Increased Violence in the United States

  Open Access•M Dwayne Smith•Sociological Quarterly•1986

  Incluir item