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Current Account Deficits During Heightened Risk

Menacing or Mitigating

Bibliographic Data

ID9703048
AuthorsKristin J Forbes (Bank of England, corresponding author), Kristin Forbes (Bank of England), Ida Hjortsoe (Bank of England and CEPR), Tsvetelina Nenova (Bank of England)
Year2017
Volume127
Issue601
Pages571-623
Publication date2017-05-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/ecoj.12482
OpenAlexW3121367012
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited37

Large current account deficits, and the corresponding reliance on capital flows from abroad, can increase a country’s vulnerability to periods of heightened risk. We develop a framework to evaluate such vulnerabilities and clarify which characteristics of a country’s international investment portfolio determine whether a current account deficit is ‘menacing’ or ‘mitigating’. Financial factors, namely international investment income and valuation changes on international investments, are critical. Our framework explores how domestic and global risk shocks affect these factors. An application to 10 OECD economies shows that a substantial degree of international risk sharing can occur through current accounts and international portfolios

Business · Capital flows · Current account · Economics · Exchange rate · Financial economics · Foreign direct investment · International economics · International investment · Investment (military · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Monetary economics · Political science · Portfolio · Portfolio investment · Valuation (finance · Vulnerability (computing · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Finance · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Citations per year0.38
Citation span2018 - 2023 (6)
Highly citedNo

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