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A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets

Bibliographic Data

ID9704124
AuthorsMichael P Dooley (0000-0003-2469-226X, University of California, Santa Cruz, corresponding author)
Year2000
Volume110
Issue460
Pages256-272
Publication date2000-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/1468-0297.00500
OpenAlexW2162279473
LanguageEN
Citations received23
References cited11

This paper presents a perfect foresight model of speculative attacks on emerging markets. Credit constrained governments are assumed to have two objectives: to accumulate liquid assets in order to self‐insure against shocks to national consumption and to insure poorly regulated domestic financial markets. This policy regime generates endogenous fiscal deficits defined to include the growth of contingent liabilities. The model sets out a sequence of yield differentials consistent with capital inflows followed by anticipated speculative attacks. The model suggests that a common shock generated capital inflows to emerging markets in Asia and Latin America after 1989

Capital (architecture · Capital flight · Capital market · Consumption (sociology · Economics · Emerging markets · Financial market · Futures studies · Latin Americans · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Monetary economics · Order (exchange · Shock (circulatory · Yield (engineering · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Finance · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies

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Unique citing works23
Citations per year0,82
Citation span1998 - 2015 (18)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 23

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