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International Trade and Innovation Dynamics with Endogenous Markups

Bibliographic Data

ID9704216
AuthorsLaurent Cavenaile (0009-0003-5157-6130, University of Toronto Scarborough and Rotman School of Management , Canada), Pau Roldan-Blanco (0000-0002-5547-5789, Banco de España & CEMFI , Spain, corresponding author), Tom Schmitz (0000-0002-5937-765X, Queen Mary University of London)
Year2023
Volume133
Issue651
Pages971-1004
Publication date2023-03-20
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/ej/ueac085
OpenAlexW3090786521
LanguageEN
References cited42

We argue that the recent increases in market concentration and markups are partly due to an ‘innovation feedback effect’ of globalisation. Lower trade costs increase innovation incentives for global firms. As the winners of the ensuing innovation race increase their technological advantage, concentration and markups rise. We develop an endogenous growth model capturing this effect and calibrate it to US manufacturing data. We find that the increase in trade between 1989 and 2007 raised the aggregate markup by 3.5 percentage points. This is entirely due to innovation: without the innovation response, markups would have fallen by 4 percentage points

Economics · Endogenous growth theory · Globalization · Human capital · Incentive · Industrial organization · International economics · International trade · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Markup language · Microeconomics · Technological change · Economic Growth and Productivity · Firm Innovation and Growth · Global trade and economics

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