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Devaluation Expectations

The Swedish Krona 1985-92

Bibliographic Data

ID9705484
AuthorsHans Lindberg (Swedish National Bank), Paul Soderlind (Stockholm School of Economics), Lars E O Svensson (0000-0001-6492-1966, University of St.Gallen)
Year1993
Volume103
Issue420
Pages1170
Publication date1993-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2234243
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited4

Devaluation expectations for the Swedish krona are estimated for the period 1982-1991 with several methods. First the sixtiplest test is applied under either only the minimal assumption of TMno positive minimum profit or the additional assumption of uncovered interest parity. Then a more precise method suggested by Bertola and Svensson is used, in which expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, estimated in several ways, are subtracted from interest rate differentials. In addition the probability density of the time of devaluations is estimated. Finally, estimated devaluation expectations are to some extent explained by a few macrovariables and parliament elections

Depreciation (economics) · Devaluation · Econometrics · Economics · Exchange rate · Keynesian economics · Microeconomics · Monetary economics · Profit (economics) · European Monetary and Fiscal Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,09
Citation span2004 - 2011 (8)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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