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The Complexity Effects on Choice with Uncertainty – Experimental Evidence

Datos Bibliográficos

ID9706488
AutoresDoron Sonsino (0000-0002-0593-561X, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology), Uri Benzion (Technion – Israel Institute of Technology), Uri Ben‐Zion (Technion – Israel Institute of Technology), Galit Mador (Technion – Israel Institute of Technology)
Año2002
Volumen112
Número482
Páginas936-965
Fecha de publicación2002-10-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
EditorialOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/1468-0297.00073
OpenAlexW2115221635
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas11
Referencias citadas38

We present experimental evidence suggesting that human subjects dislike complexity in choice with uncertainty. Our results suggest that the probability of choosing a given alternative decreases with the relative complexity of that alternative. Complexity increases the noise in the choice process and the chances that the (otherwise) inferior alternative will be selected. Our results contradict the predictions of (discounted) expected utility theory and intuitively appealing axioms like "stochastic dominance" and "convexity". These "complexity effects" may lead to inefficient portfolio selection. The perceived complexity of a given lottery may depend on editing procedures and be subjected to framing effects. Copyright Royal Economic Society 2002

Axiom · Convexity · Econometrics · Economics · Expected utility hypothesis · Financial economics · Framing effect · Lottery · Mathematical economics · Microeconomics · Portfolio · Stochastic dominance · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Forecasting Techniques and Applications · Mathematics · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Obras citantes distintas11
Citas por año0,79
Intervalo de citas2012 - 2026 (15)
Velocidad de citacióncurrent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 11
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