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Sargent‐Wallace Meets Krugman‐Flood‐Garber, or

Why Sovereign Debt Swaps do not Avert Macroeconomic Crises

Bibliographic Data

ID9707740
AuthorsJoshua Aizenman (0000-0002-7213-6105, University of California, Santa Cruz and NBER), Kenneth M Kletzer (University of California, Santa Cruz), Kenneth Kletzer (Ifo Institute for Economic Research), Brian Pinto (World Bank)
Year2005
Volume115
Issue503
Pages343-367
Publication date2005-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/j.1468-0297.2005.00992.x
OpenAlexW2086507641
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited2

This paper argues that the frequent failure of the debt swaps follows from fundamental forces driven by the market's assessment of the scarcity of fiscal revenue relative to the demand for fiscal outlays. As a country approaches the range of partial default, swaps may not provide the expected breathing room and could even bring the crisis forward. Our methodology combines three independent themes: exchange rate crises as the manifestation of excessive monetary injections, the fiscal theory of inflation and sovereign debt. The integrated framework derives devaluation and external debt repudiation as part of a public-finance optimising problem. Copyright 2005 Royal Economic Society

Arbitrage · Debt · Economics · Exchange rate · Financial economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Swap (finance · Economic Theory and Policy · Finance · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies

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  • A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises

    Paul Krugman•Journal of money credit and banking•1979

  • Collapsing exchange-rate regimes

    Open Access•Robert P Flood, Peter M Garber•Journal of International Economics•1984

Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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