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The Consequences of Teenage Childbearing

Consistent Estimates When Abortion Makes Miscarriage Non‐random

Dados Bibliográficos

ID9709922
AutoresAdam Ashcraft (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), Adam B Ashcraft (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), Iván Fernández‐Val (Boston University), Kevin Lang (0000-0002-8497-1706, Boston University, NBER and IZA)
Ano2013
Volume123
Fascículo571
Páginas875-905
Data de publicação2013-09-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
EditoraOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/ecoj.12005
PMID24443589
PMCIDPMC3891739
OpenAlexW2048765660
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas41
Referências citadas25

Miscarriage, even if biologically random, is not socially random. Willingness to abort reduces miscarriage risk. Because abortions are favorably selected among pregnant teens, those miscarrying are less favorably selected than those giving birth or aborting but more favorably selected than those giving birth. Therefore, using miscarriage as an instrument is biased towards a benign view of teen motherhood while OLS on just those giving birth or miscarrying has the opposite bias. We derive a consistent estimator that reduces to a weighted average of OLS and IV when outcomes are independent of abortion timing. Estimated effects are generally adverse but modest

Abort · Abortion · Biology · Estimator · Live birth · Miscarriage · Obstetrics · Ordinary least squares · Pregnancy · Statistics · Computer Science · Mathematics · Medicine · Pregnancy and Medication Impact · Reproductive Health and Contraception · Reproductive System and Pregnancy

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Obras citantes distintas41
Citações por ano3,15
Intervalo de citações2013 - 2026 (14)
Velocidade de citaçãocurrent
Altamente citadoNão
Tipos de citaçãoNeutras: 41
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