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Demand, Supply And Markup Fluctuations

Bibliographic Data

ID9714317
AuthorsCarlos Daniel Santos (0000-0002-8726-7458, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, corresponding author), Luís F Costa (0000-0001-5842-9975, REM—Research in Economics and Mathematics, UECE—Research Unit on Complexity and Economics, Portugal), Paulo Brito (0009-0004-7388-5468, University of Lisbon), Paulo B Brito (REM—Research in Economics and Mathematics, UECE—Research Unit on Complexity and Economics, Portugal)
Year2022
Volume132
Issue644
Pages1620-1645
Publication date2022-05-09
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/ej/ueab090
OpenAlexW4206459144
LanguageEN
References cited38

Markup cyclicality has been central for debating policy effectiveness and understanding business cycle fluctuations. However, measuring the cyclicality of markups is as important as understanding the microeconomic mechanisms underlying that cyclicality. The latter requires measurement of firm-level markups and separating supply from demand shocks. We construct a novel dataset with detailed (multi-) product-level prices for individual firms. By estimating a structural model of supply and demand, we evaluate how companies adjust prices and marginal costs as a response to shocks. We find that price markups respond positively to supply shocks and negatively to demand shocks. The mechanism explaining the observed markup behaviour is the same for both shocks: incomplete pass-through of changes along the marginal cost curve to price adjustments. These observed price and output responses are consistent with dynamic demand considerations. Finally, we use our estimated shocks to show how aggregate markup fluctuations in the sample period are mostly explained by aggregate demand shocks

Aggregate demand · Aggregate supply · Business cycle · Construct (python library · Demand shock · Econometrics · Economics · Macroeconomics · Marginal cost · Markup language · Microeconomics · Monetary economics · Monetary policy · Product (mathematics · Supply and demand · Supply shock · Computer Science · Economic theories and models · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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