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Income and Population Growth

Bibliographic Data

ID9714534
AuthorsMarkus Brueckner (0000-0002-0011-4513, National University of Singapore), Hannes Schwandt (0000-0003-3959-9594, Princeton University)
Year2015
Volume125
Issue589
Pages1653-1676
Publication date2015-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/ecoj.12152
OpenAlexW572934935
LanguageEN
Citations received14
References cited31

Do populations grow as countries become richer? In this study we estimate the effects on population growth of shocks to national income that are plausibly exogenous and unlikely to be driven by technological change. For a panel of over 139 countries spanning the period 1960–2007, we interact changes in international oil prices with countries' average net‐export shares of oil in GDP. Controlling for country and time fixed effects, we find that this measure of oil price induced income growth is positively associated with population growth. The IV estimates indicate that a 1 percentage point increase in GDPper capita growth over a 10‐year period increases countries' population growth by around 0.1 percentage points. Furthermore, we find that this population effect results from both a positive effect on fertility and a negative effect on infant and child mortality

Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Fertility · Net migration rate · Panel data · Per capita · Per capita income · Percentage point · Population · Population growth · Demography · Economic Growth and Productivity · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Global Health Care Issues

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Unique citing works14
Citations per year1,08
Citation span2013 - 2026 (14)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 14

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