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Growth, Import Dependence, and War

Bibliographic Data

ID9715151
AuthorsRoberto Bonfatti (0000-0002-0924-5149, University of Nottingham), Kevin H O''Rourke (0000-0001-6272-2090, All Souls College, Oxford), Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
Year2017
Volume128
Issue614
Pages2222-2257
Publication date2017-11-22
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/ecoj.12511
OpenAlexW1855278605
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited28

Theories of war predict that the leader may launch a war on a follower who is catching up, since the follower cannot commit to not use their increased power in the future. But it was Japan who attacked the West in 1941: both leaders and followers start wars. Similarly, many have argued that trade makes war less likely, yet the First World War erupted at a time of unprecedented globalisation. We develop a model of trade and war that can explain both observations. Dependence on imports can lead followers to attack leaders or resource-rich regions when they are subject to blockade

China · Commit · Development economics · Economics · Economy · Globalization · International trade · Market economy · Political economy · Political science · Power (physics · Trade war · Economic and Technological Innovation · Global trade and economics · International Development and Aid · Law

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Unique citing works5
Citations per year0,71
Citation span2019 - 2024 (6)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5
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