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Inflation Target Shocks and Monetary Policy Inertia in the Euro Area

Bibliographic Data

ID9718399
AuthorsPatrick Fève (0009-0006-4064-7775, Toulouse School of Economics), Julien Matheron (Banque de France, DGEI–DEMS–SEPS and SDFi (University of Paris–Dauphine)), Jean‐Guillaume Sahuc (Banque de France)
Year2010
Volume120
Issue547
Pages1100-1124
Publication date2010-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02332.x
OpenAlexW1582605777
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited30

The euro area as a whole has experienced a marked downward trend in inflation over the past decades and, concomitantly, a protracted period of depressed activity. Can permanent shifts in monetary policy be held responsible for these dynamics? To answer this question, we embed serially correlated changes in the inflation target into a DSGE model with real and nominal fric-tions. The formal Bayesian estimation of the model suggests that gradual changes in the inflation target have played a major role in the euro area business cycle. Following an inflation target shock, the real interest rate increases sharply and persistently, leading to a protracted decline in economic activity. Counter–factual exercises show that, had monetary policy implemented its new inflation objective at a faster rate, the euro zone would have experienced more sustained growth than it actually did

Economic history · Economics · Inertia · Inflation (cosmology · Keynesian economics · Monetary policy · Economic Theory and Policy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · History · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,06
Citation span2009 - 2009 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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