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Rainfall, Agricultural Output and Persistent Democratization

Bibliographic Data

ID9723647
AuthorsAntonio Ciccone (0000-0002-3012-3824, University of Mannheim), Adilzhan Ismailov (Universitat Pompeu Fabra)
Year2022
Volume89
Issue354
Pages229-257
Publication date2022-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEconomica (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0427 • E-ISSN: 1468-0335
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/ecca.12405
OpenAlexW4200458776
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited31

We examine the effect of rainfall on agricultural output and democratization in the world’s most agricultural countries. As in the agricultural economics literature, we find that the relationship between rainfall and agricultural output has an inverted U‐shape, as agriculture is harmed by both droughts and very wet conditions. We also find the effect of rainfall on agricultural output to be transitory. The relationship between rainfall and democratization is U‐shaped in the short run, and this effect persists in the long run. Hence democratic transitions outlast the (transitory) rainfall shocks that started the democratization process. The U‐shaped relationship between rainfall and democratization is consistent with rainfall affecting democratization through its (inverted‐U‐shaped) effect on agricultural output

Agriculture · Democracy · Democratization · Economics · Geography · Political science · Politics · Agricultural risk and resilience · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Land Rights and Reforms

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Highly citedNo

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