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Issues of Thermonuclear War Termination

Bibliographic Data

ID9769641
AuthorsHerman Kahn (corresponding author)
Year1970
Volume392
Issue1
Pages133-172
Publication date1970-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-7162 • E-ISSN: 1552-3349
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/000271627039200113
OpenAlexW2103524813
LanguageEN
Citations received2

The possibility of thermonuclear war is here faced and its termination probed, in view of the fact that the missiles for such a war are already in existence and its actuality is therefore not truly "unthinkable." The premise is advanced that the '70's are perhaps the last decade of safety from such a war. Features of a modal model are explored, and six basic and omnipresent threats are discussed. The concept of a war of reciprocal reprisals is presented, as are the cases of ad hoc cease-fire, conditional cease-fire, and the continuation of war with both "rational" and "irrational" outcomes. Ways to hypothecate force in a stable balance-of-terror environment are then examined, and eleven types of war outcome analyzed. The various situations enhancing acceptability of at least an ad hoc cease-fire are listed, and the possible results of taking the recommended design cases seriously are emphasized. A sample mobilization scenario is given in the concluding re marks of warning

Epistemology · Political science · Premise · Reciprocal · Thermonuclear Fusion · World War II · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · Law · Military Defense Systems Analysis · Military History and Strategy

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  • Political Forecasting and Strategic Planning

    John W Chapman•International Studies Quarterly•1971

Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,04
Citation span1971 - 2024 (54)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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