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The futures of Canadian governance

Foresight competencies for public administration in the digital era

Bibliographic Data

ID9782809
AuthorsPeter Jones (0000-0001-5089-4143, corresponding author)
Year2017
Volume60
Issue4
Pages657-681
Publication date2017-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueCanadian Public Administration (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0008-4840 • E-ISSN: 1754-7121
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/capa.12241
OpenAlexW2799947974
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited32

Evidence‐based practice has advanced in public administration, with increasing reliance on social research and population sampling in decision making. Yet the evidence‐based turn risks marginalizing the value of strategic foresight and futures competencies in informing policy and planning. Where evidence enables policymakers to select the best near‐term course of action, future outcomes are inferred and projected, and not determined by past evidence. Foresight provides a necessary competency for defining and investing in the right direction of future policy and action, by articulating future problematics with multiple foresight methods. While social and technological futures cannot be precisely predicted, future scenarios and prospectuses can be designed to inform options and trajectories for intervention and new policy. The emerging area of digital‐era governance is examined, where complex scenarios for future policies are based on present evidence (such as trends) and informed speculation to formulate policies and options in dynamically changing societal contexts

Action (physics · Business · Corporate governance · Economic growth · Economics · Futures contract · Futures studies · Management · Political science · Public policy · Public relations · Responsible Research and Innovation · Speculation · Value (mathematics · Computer Science · Environmental and Social Impact Assessments · Finance · Public Administration · Public Policy and Administration Research · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance

  • Institutionalizing foresight in science, technology, and innovation in sub‐Saharan Africa

    Open Access•John Ouma‐Mugabe, Anthon Botha et al.•Development Policy Review•2024

  • Introduction to the special issue

    Open Access•Giovanni Esposito, Andrea Terlizzi•International Review of…•2026

  • Navigating Complex Processes and Relationships

    Open Access•Robert P Shepherd•Canadian Public Administration•2026

  • Foresight and forecasting of socio-economic development of rural territories

    Open Access•Vitaliy Kovshov, Eugene Stovba et al.•Environment Development and…•2023

  • In search of better methods for the longitudinal assessment of tech-derived X-risks

    Open Access•Trond Arne Undheim•Technology in Society•2024

  • An uphill battle

    Open Access•Geert Brinkman, Jacky Verhulst et al.•Policy Studies•2025

  • What Drives the Centralization or Decentralization of Network Governance? A Configurational Analysis in Different Health and Social Care Networks

    Open Access•Eleonora Gheduzzi, Tie Cui et al.•Public Administration•2025

  • Beyond Covid‐19

    Open Access•Astrid Brousselle, Emmanuel Brunet‐jailly et al.•Canadian Public Administration•2020

  • Should algorithms be regulated by government

    Open Access•Robert Smith, Robert A Smith et al.•Canadian Public Administration•2020

  • How are foresight methods selected?

    Open Access•Rafael Popper, Maurits Butter•foresight•2008

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    John Halligan•Governance in a Changing…•1995

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  • Directions in scenario planning literature – A review of the past decades

    Open Access•Celeste Amorim Varum, Celeste Varum et al.•Futures•2010

  • Human centred science and technology—transdisciplinary foresight and co-creation as tools for active needs-based innovation governance

    Open Access•Niklas Gudowsky, Walter Peissl•European Journal of Futures…•2016

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    Open Access•Alexander N Christakis•Futures•1973

  • Strategic foresight in public policy

    Open Access•Beat Habegger•Futures•2010

  • Foresight tackling societal challenges

    Open Access•T Könnölä, Тотти Коннола et al.•Futures•2011

  • Futures literacy

    Open Access•Riel Miller•Futures•2007

  • Rethinking the Unthinkable

    Leon V Sigal•Foreign Policy•1979

  • From Social Theory to Policy Design

    Open Access•Stephen H Linder, B Guy Peters•Journal of Public Policy•1984

  • The Human Meaning of the Social Sciences

    William L Kolb, D Lerner•American Sociological Review•1960

Unique citing works9
Citations per year1,5
Citation span2020 - 2026 (7)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

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