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Young children's predictions of illness

Failure to recognize probabilistic causation

Bibliographic Data

ID9787015
AuthorsCharles W Kalish (0000-0002-4463-000X, University of Wisconsin–Madison, corresponding author)
Year1998
Volume34
Issue5
Pages1046-1058
Publication date1998-09-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueDevelopmental Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0012-1649 • E-ISSN: 1939-0599
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/0012-1649.34.5.1046
PMID9779750
OpenAlexW2130967396, W4248681181
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited2

In this study preschool-age children made predictions for a set of salient probabilistic causes. Of interest was whether the children viewed outcomes of familiar causes of illness as definite or as probabilistic. In Experiment 1, children judged that a common cause would affect all members of a group in the same way. In Experiment 2, children believed they could definitely predict illness outcomes in a single case. These judgments contrasted with adults' variable and uncertain predictions. Children did recognize uncertainty in outcomes dependent on voluntary choices. Experiment 3 presented both high- and low-potency causes of illness. Children treated all causes of illness as nonprobabilistic. These results are discussed in the context of children's understanding of causal relations and the sources of variability.

Affect (linguistics · Causality (physics · Causation · Cognitive psychology · Context (archaeology · Developmental psychology · Epistemology · Probabilistic logic · Salient · Set (abstract data type · Child and Animal Learning Development · Clinical Psychology · Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills · Education and Critical Thinking Development · Families in Therapy and Culture · Psychology

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Citations per year0.2
Citation span2006 - 2024 (19)
Highly citedNo

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