Scenario types and techniques
Towards a user's guide
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9844446 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Lena Börjeson (KTH Royal Institute of Technology, corresponding author), Mattias Höjer (0000-0001-5327-6535, KTH Royal Institute of Technology), Karl-Henrik Dreborg (Swedish Defence Research Agency), Tomas Ekvall (0000-0001-5281-9331, Chalmers University of Technology), Göran Finnveden (0000-0002-5600-0726, KTH Royal Institute of Technology) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 38 |
| Issue | 7 |
| Pages | 723-739 |
| Publication date | 2006-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2005.12.002 |
| OpenAlex | W2102992776 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 337 |
| References cited | 19 |
Consistency (knowledge bases · Data science · Field (mathematics · Futures contract · Futures studies · Management science · Risk analysis (engineering · Sociology · Typology · Artificial Intelligence · Coastal and Marine Management · Computer Science · Delphi Technique in Research · Engineering · Innovative Approaches in Technology and Social Development
O uso de cenários em marketing
Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management? Experiences from three countries in Latin America
Exploring the usefulness of scenario archetypes in science-policy processes
Sámi reindeer governance in Norway as competing knowledge systems
Small-scale fisheries and agricultural trade networks are socially embedded
A Diagnostic Procedure for Transformative Change Based on Transitions, Resilience, and Institutional Thinking
Tourism developmente policy and the use of scenario analisis
Temporalities of future governance
Methoden und Methodologie in den Nachhaltigkeitswissenschaften
Wissensproduktion, Wissensmobilisierung und Wissenstransfer. Chancen und Grenzen der Entwicklung von Wissenschaft und Praxis
The current state of scenario development
Thinking inside the box
Backcasting for sustainability
Landscape metrics in the analysis of urban land use patterns
Combining participative backcasting and exploratory scenario development
An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation
Recent developments in Life Cycle Assessment
A meta-analysis of projected global food demand and population at risk of hunger for the period 2010–2050
Slowing, narrowing, and closing material flows
Digitalization and remote work in peripheral labour markets in the Nordic region
Designerly living labs
Improved solutions for shared value creation and maximization from used clothes
Imagining the School of the Future Through Computational Simulations
A participatory scenario analysis of potential small-scale farming systems in rural Thaba Nchu and Emmaus regions of South Africa
The SPARS Pandemic 2025-2028
The role of future planning scenarios in reducing the social impacts of coronavirus pandemic in Saudi Arabia
Scenario construction and evolutionary analysis of nonconventional public health emergencies based on Bayesian networks
Teacher Agency and Futures Thinking
Tomorrow's disasters – Embedding foresight principles into disaster risk assessment and treatment
Future exposure modelling for risk-informed decision making in urban planning
Participatory modeling for transition governance
A review of renewable energy scenarios in Europe
Introducing Cross-impact Scenario Policy Analysis (CRISPA)
Public participation GIS scenarios for decision-making on land-use requirements for renewable energy systems
A decision–support flowchart for including parameter uncertainty in prospective life cycle inventory modeling
Reshaping roles and value logics among distributed system operators for future electricity systems
A Participatory Future Scenario-Building Methodology for Europe’s Just Transition by Sectors
The future(s) of global governance
Scenarios of Iranians’ participation in leisure time physical activity
Some direction
Low carbon energy transition and digital infrastructure from the Global South
Urban planning and degrowth
Towards degrowth housing development? Lessons from a scenario-based gaming session in the Oslo region
In quest of implementing degrowth in local urban planning policies
A Value Sensitive Scenario Planning Method for Adaptation to Uncertain Future Sea Level Rise
Jouer un scénario d’aménagement foncier
Spatial justice on the horizon? A combined Theory of Change scenario tool to assess place-based interventions
The death and life of Malmi neighbourhood shopping street
Foresight and futures thinking for international development co‐operation
Agency and Transformative Potential of Technology in Students’ Images of the Future
Degrowth futures as power struggles
Strengthening coastal adaptation planning through scenario analysis
Integrating environmental sustainability and social justice in housing development
How comparing school performance data can support sensemaking for school development
Beyond Plans
Modeling Sustainability Scenarios in the Baltimore–Washington (DC) Region
Integrating existing climate adaptation planning into future visions
Mapping future eating
Too little space for renewables? Modeling carbon-neutral energy futures in southern Germany
Consolidating backcasting
Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment as a reflective approach to mission governance
Can radical innovation mitigate environmental and animal welfare misconduct in global value chains? The case of cell-based tuna
Stakeholder inclusion in scenario planning—A review of European projects
Methodology for constructing scenarios for health policy research
Towards radical circular economy futures
Mapping public perception of artificial intelligence
Minimizing extractivism through 3D printing with law and policy support
Future scenarios for the development of the desalination industry in contexts of water scarcity
Scenario development using web mining for outlining technology futures
Robust decision making and Epoch–Era analysis
Limits and longevity
Scenario structuring methodology for computer-aided scenario design
Recognition and operationalization of Future‐Scaffolding Skills
Futurising science education
Harnessing the potential of transdisciplinary practice for the transformation of agri-food systems
Futures Work as a Mode of Academic Engagement
What Kinds of Traffic Forecasts are Possible
FutureScapes
Constructing urban dynamic transportation planning strategies for improving quality of life and urban sustainability under emerging growth management principles
A causal network for strategic foresight of Inclusive Climate Actions through co-creation of Nature-Based Solutions
Speeding up to keep up
The Interconnected Arctic — UArctic Congress 2016
Images of the Future City
Vorausschauendes Denken
The post-digital era
Exploring the impacts of woodland management on ecosystem services – a deliberative method
Rethinking scenario building for sustainable futures
Knowledge co-production in the Helge å catchment
Using anticipation to unveil drivers of local livelihoods in Transfrontier Conservation Areas
Fostering ocean empathy through future scenarios
Diverse Values and a Common Utopia
Coping with the Unpredictable Effects of Future Technologies
A conceptual model-based approach to explore community livelihood adaptation under uncertainty for adaptive delta management
El método de escenarios y las narrativas de futuro
Linking service provision to material cycles
Finding Life Cycle Assessment Research Direction with the Aid of Meta‐Analysis
Sector‐specific scenarios for future stocks and flows of aluminum
Methodological review and detailed guidance for the life cycle interpretation phase
A hierarchical Bayesian regression model that reduces uncertainty in material demand predictions
Particle Flow Analysis
Scenarios
Essence of backcasting
Future subjunctive
Determinism and backcasting in future studies
Futures research and social decision making
Recovering the future
Futures studies in the 21st Century
Epistemology and public policy
In search of an evolutionary paradigm for futures research
Futures under glass
Initial experiments with the cross impact matrix method of forecasting
Deconstructing and reconstructing the future
An updated scenario typology
The Year 2000
| Unique citing works | 337 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 16,85 |
| Citation span | 2006 - 2026 (21) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 329 |