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Guiding principles for modelling-based papers published in Futures

Bibliographic Data

ID9844653
AuthorsJonathan Derbyshire (0000-0002-1505-412X, corresponding author), Sj Beard (0000-0002-2834-0993), Simon Beard, Chris Grove (0000-0003-2402-1618), Chris Groves, Zora Kovacic (0000-0002-0911-9273), Richard Sandford (0000-0001-7022-8674)
Year2026
Volume179
Pages103813
Publication date2026-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFutures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.futures.2026.103813
OpenAlexW7140081083
LanguageEN
References cited42

Futures contract · Futures studies · Model-Driven Software Engineering Techniques · Modeling and Simulation Systems · Scientific Computing and Data Management

  • Plausibility and probability in scenario planning

    Open Access•Rafael Ramirez, Cynthia Selin•foresight•2014

  • An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence

    Open Access•Steven C Sherwood, M J Webb et al.•Reviews of Geophysics•2020

  • Expectations and the neutrality of money

    Open Access•Robert E Lucas•Journal of Economic Theory•1972

  • Is seeking certainty in climate sensitivity measures counterproductive in the context of climate emergency? The case for scenario planning

    Open Access•Jonathan Derbyshire, James Derbyshire et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2022

  • The Politics of Modelling

    Andrea Saltelli, Monica Di Fiore•Politics of Modelling•2023

  • Complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity

    Open Access•Zora Kovacic, L J Di Felice•Energy Research & Social Science•2019

  • Known Knowns, Known Unknowns, Unknown Unknowns

    Open Access•Ray Pawson, Geoff Wong et al.•American Journal of Evaluation•2011

  • Uncertainty and environmental learning 1, 2Reconceiving science and policy in the preventive paradigm

    Open Access•Brian Wynne•Global Environmental Change•1992

  • Modelling complex systems of heterogeneous agents to better design sustainability transitions policy

    Open Access•Jean-François Mercure, Hector Pollitt et al.•Global Environmental Change•2016

  • Integrating modelling-based and stakeholder-focused scenario approaches to close the planning gap and accelerate low-carbon transitions

    Open Access•Jonathan Derbyshire•Ecological Economics•2024

  • Epistemic participation

    Open Access•Werner Reichmann•Social Studies of Science•2013

  • The model crisis, or how to have critical promiscuity in the time of Covid-19

    Open Access•W Anderson•Social Studies of Science•2021

  • An analysis and evaluation of methods currently used to quantify the likelihood of existential hazards

    Open Access•Sj Beard, Simon Beard et al.•Futures•2020

  • Shackle’s approach towards priority setting and decision-making in Science, Technology, and Innovation

    Open Access•Stan Metcalfe, Sergio Salles-Filho et al.•Futures•2021

  • The implications, challenges and benefits of a complexity-orientated Futures Studies

    Open Access•Jonathan Derbyshire, James Derbyshire•Futures•2016

  • Investigating science for governance through the lenses of complexity

    Open Access•Zora Kovacic•Futures•2017

  • What is wrong with evidence based policy, and how can it be improved

    Open Access•Andrea Saltelli, M Giampietro•Futures•2017

  • Science for the post-normal age

    Open Access•Silvio Funtowicz, Silvio O Funtowicz et al.•Futures•1993

  • Preemption, precaution, preparedness

    Open Access•Ben Anderson•Progress in Human Geography•2010

  • Critical Questions for Big Data

    Drick Boyd, Danah Boyd et al.•Information Communication & Society•2012

  • Worlding beyond 'the' 'end' of 'the world

    Open Access•Audra Mitchell, Aadita Chaudhury•International Relations•2020

  • Answers to questions on uncertainty in geography

    Open Access•Jonathan Derbyshire, James Derbyshire•Environment and Planning A…•2020

  • Ethical dimensions of quantification

    Open Access•Wendy Nelson Espeland, Wendy Espeland et al.•Social Science Information•2019

  • Beyond the Fact/Value Distinction

    Open Access•Philip S Gorski•Society•2013

  • Strange Weather, Again

    Open Access•Brian Wynne•Theory Culture & Society•2010

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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