Making warming worlds
Future making between climate politics and science – The case of the Structured Expert Dialogue
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9845214 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jasmine E Livingston (0000-0002-1851-2106, Utrecht University, corresponding author), Terese Thoni (0000-0002-9129-6198, Lund University), Silke Beck (0000-0002-4157-0777, Technical University of Munich) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 163 |
| Pages | 103442 |
| Publication date | 2024-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103442 |
| OpenAlex | W4401351400 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 41 |
The Long-Term Global Goal (LTGG) is the focal point for addressing future climate change. This paper explores a specific institutional context: the Structured Expert Dialogue (SED) of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Set up as a platform for interaction between experts and UN negotiators, the SED is a site where scientific information about the LTGG and net-zero was translated into actionable targets for policymaking. We identify different modes of anticipation in the SED - as scientific, lived future, and ethical/political - and explore how they emerged and played out. We ask how these different modes of anticipation produce a particular vision of a desirable future and legitimise ways of governing future climate change. We observe that the scientific and technical mode of anticipation is dominant and has shaped the definition of the LTGG, focussing on numerical targets and side-lining geopolitical and distributive consequences. We also see the science-based framing being re-politicised and challenged, and discuss how capacities to get a voice in the SED were unequally distributed. Based on our findings, we suggest that care is needed to design spaces in order to consider ethical and political consequences of the LTGG and rethink modes of participation and representation
Anticipation (artificial intelligence · Climate change · Environmental ethics · Framing (construction · Geography · Global warming · Political science · Politics · Public relations · Sociology · Climate Change and Geoengineering · Climate Change Communication and Perception · Computer Science · Ecology · Law · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
Do Economists Make Markets?
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The politics of anticipation
Three institutional pathways to envision the future of the IPCC
Transforming environmental research to avoid tragedy
Dreamscapes of Modernity
Organising Policy-Relevant Knowledge for Climate Action
Delaying decarbonization
An Energetic Odyssey
Is bio-energy carbon capture and storage (BECCS) feasible? The contested authority of integrated assessment modeling
Is the 1.5°C target possible? Exploring the three spheres of transformation
The scientific motivation of the internationally agreed ‘well below 2 °C’ climate protection target
Mapping diverse visions of energy transitions
History of the 2 ° C climate target
A history of the 1.5°C target
The challenges of building cosmopolitan climate expertise
Negative emissions and the long history of carbon removal
Is carbon removal delaying emission reductions
Narrowing the Climate Field
It’s a Performance, Not an Orchestra! Rethinking Soft Coordination in Global Climate Governance
Navigating the political
Imagining the corridor of climate mitigation – What is at stake in IPCC’s politics of anticipation
Staging science
Taking science by surprise
Institutional Ecology, `Translations' and Boundary Objects
Emptying the future
Earthly graves for environmental futures
Critical Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Governing by targets
Science on Stage
The politics of anticipation
Understanding 'anticipatory governance
Techniques of futuring
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2026 (2) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |