Judgmental forecasting
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9845485 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Olaf Helmer (Continental (United States), corresponding author) |
| Year | 1988 |
| Volume | 20 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 100-101 |
| Publication date | 1988-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/0016-3287(88)90054-7 |
| OpenAlex | W309949061 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 28 |
Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios?
Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports
Different perspectives of stakeholders on the sustainable development of fishery-based communities in Northeast Taiwan
Cognitive Dimensions of Conflicts Over New Technology
Expert Opinions in Forecasting
The interpretation of uncertainty in ecological rationality
Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool
Delphi
Information sources, news, and rumors in financial markets
Accuracy and bias of experts’ adjusted forecasts
Expectancies and Mental Models as Determinants of Adolescents' Smoking Decisions
A practical road map for assessing cyber risk
Evaluating the Optimal Travel Service Planner by Using the Network Model for the Tourism Industry
The Power of Social Influence on Estimation Accuracy
Future-sketching and multi-attribute evaluation may affect your preference order of complex policy scenarios
Judgmental forecasting of univariate time series
An evaluation of the reliability of probability judgments across response modes and over time
The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting
Back to the future
Understanding ‘Unlikely (20% Likelihood)’ or ‘20% Likelihood (Unlikely)’ Outcomes
Ambiguous probabilities
Future scenarios of commercial freight shipping in the Euro-Asian Arctic
Problematizing international business futures through a ‘critical scenario method’
Enhancing foresight between multiple agencies
An updated scenario typology
Accommodating or compromising change? A story about ambitions and historic deterministic scenarios
An approach to product development with scenario planning
| Unique citing works | 28 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,74 |
| Citation span | 1988 - 2024 (37) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 28 |