Delphi-based visual scenarios
An innovative use of generative adversarial networks
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 9846229 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Simone Di Zio (0000-0002-9139-1451, University of Chieti-Pescara, autor de correspondencia), Yuri Calleo (0000-0002-0190-6061, University College Dublin), Mario Bolzan (0000-0002-0815-2020, University of Padua) |
| Año | 2023 |
| Volumen | 154 |
| Páginas | 103280 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2023-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Editorial | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2023.103280 |
| OpenAlex | W4388383262 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 3 |
| Referencias citadas | 46 |
In the Futures Studies context, the Delphi-based scenario (DBS) is a valuable method for setting future-oriented strategies and actions by gathering expert opinions in multiple iterative rounds, in order to make better decisions in the present. However, one of the main challenges is to find a suitable representation of the scenarios both for evaluation and decision-making. The development of future scenarios requires high creativity and simple textual descriptions could not be enough to grab the attention of the experts and decision-makers, due to a probable lack of communication and/or technical language. Since the textual descriptions concern the future, the human mind may have difficulty imagining events that have not already happened. With the spread of AI models, different implementations can support the DBS process, such as the use of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to generate specific images starting from the narratives of the scenarios. In this paper, we propose a new method for the development of Delphi-based Visual Scenarios (DBVS) adopting GANs, with the aim to support the experts and decision-makers in planning and communication, in order to have immediate images of what the future could be like. We apply this method with regard to the future of Italian families
Adversarial system · Context (archaeology · Data science · Delphi · Delphi method · Futures contract · Generative grammar · Implementation · Management science · Narrative · Process (computing · Process management · Scenario planning · Software engineering · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Delphi Technique in Research
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RT Delphi
I.—computing Machinery and Intelligence
Classification of Delphi outputs through robust ranking and fuzzy clustering for Delphi-based scenarios
The impact of Covid-19 on the European football ecosystem – A Delphi-based scenario analysis
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Theory and applications of the Delphi technique
Finding Structure in Time
Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences
Delphi
The future of the Mediterranean agri-food systems
Scenarios on economic and social cohesion in Europe
The forthcoming Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution
The scenario planning paradox
Conditions for a Picture-Superiority Effect on Consumer Memory
| Obras citantes distintas | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 1,5 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Velocidad de citación | current |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 3 |