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Failed technology futures

Pitfalls and lessons from a historical survey

Bibliographic Data

ID9846754
AuthorsFrank W Geels (0000-0001-8778-4757, University of Twente, corresponding author), Wim A Smit, Wim Smit (University of Twente)
Year2000
Volume32
Issue9-10
Pages867-885
Publication date2000-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFutures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/s0016-3287(00)00036-7
OpenAlexW2159826670
LanguageEN
Citations received72
References cited12

Economics · Epistemology · Field (mathematics · Financial economics · Futures contract · Futures studies · Hindsight bias · Information and Communications Technology · Performative utterance · Point (geometry · Political science · Technological change · Computer Science · Information Systems Theories and Implementation · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology

  • Reckless Proliferation and Guardianship Proliferation

    Nuno Luís Madureira•Technology and Culture•2019

  • What is protective space? Reconsidering niches in transitions to sustainability

    Open Access•Adrian Smith, Rob Raven•Research Policy•2012

  • Normative expectations in systems innovation

    Frans Berkhout•Technology Analysis and Strategic…•2006

  • Social barriers to the adoption of smart homes

    Open Access•Nazmiye Balta‐Ozkan, Nazmiye Balta-Ozkan et al.•Energy Policy•2013

  • Travel time use in the information age

    Open Access•Glenn Lyons, John Urry•Transportation Research Part A…•2005

  • Navigating foresight in a sea of expectations

    Harro Van Lente•Technology Analysis and Strategic…•2012

  • Low expectations within conservative wing of discourse coalition for innovation and technoscience

    Open Access•Ozan Altınok•SN Social Sciences•2024

  • “Bigger than government”

    Open Access•B K Sovacool, Marfuga Iskandarova et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2023

  • The evolving roles of actors in sustainability experiments

    Open Access•Shengnan Wang, Xuemei Bai et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2024

  • Technology readiness levels for policy making

    Open Access•Diana Hicks, Navya Gupta et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2026

  • Diverging pathways to port sustainability

    Open Access•Kristin Ystmark Bjerkan, Marianne Ryghaug•Technological Forecasting and…•2021

  • Failed technology management

    Open Access•Patrick Van Der Duin, Paul Trott et al.•Technological Forecasting and…•2024

  • Futures Work as a Mode of Academic Engagement

    Open Access•Mikko Jalas, Morten Rask et al.•Science & Technology Studies•2019

  • Innovation Priorities for UK Bioenergy

    Open Access•L Levidow, Theo Papaioannou et al.•Science & Technology Studies•2013

  • Taming the Golem - an Experiment in Participatory and Constructive Technology Assessment

    Open Access•Eva Heiskanen•Science & Technology Studies•2005

  • Heterogeneous impacts and spillover effects of green innovation network and environmental regulation on water use efficiency

    Open Access•Yizhen Zhang, Tao Wang et al.•Sustainable Cities and Society•2023

  • Environmental conflicts, research projects and the generation of collective expectations

    Open Access•Vanesa Castán Broto•Public Understanding of Science•2012

  • Once promised, forever believed? An essay on the blind spots of AI promises

    Open Access•Thorben Krokowski, Hartmut Hirsch‐Kreinsen et al.•AI & Society•2026

  • Weapons Design, Engineering Ethics, and the Duty to Inform

    Open Access•Cameron L Tracy•IEEE Technology and Society…•2024

  • Hope Against Hype - Accountability in Biopasts, Presents and Futures

    Open Access•Norman D Brown•Science & Technology Studies•2003

  • Nanomedicine and personalised medicine

    Open Access•Mathieu Noury, José Julián López et al.•Sociology of Health & Illness•2016

  • Mythes sociotechniques et développement

    Open Access•Jean-Philippe Venot, Gert Jan Veldwisch et al.•Anthropologie & développement•2017

  • Sociotechnical Myths in Development

    Open Access•Jean-Philippe Venot, Gert Jan Veldwisch•Anthropologie & développement•2017

  • Energizing technology

    Martin Hultman, Christer Nordlund•History and Technology•2013

  • Imagining sustainable energy and mobility transitions

    Open Access•B K Sovacool, Noam Bergman et al.•Social Studies of Science•2020

  • Mobilizing the new mobilities paradigm

    Mimi Sheller, John Urry•Applied Mobilities•2016

  • Applying the multi-level perspective to climate geoengineering

    Open Access•Kyle Herman, B K Sovacool•Energy Research & Social Science•2024

  • Post-conventional energy futures

    Open Access•Magdalena Kuchler•Energy Research & Social Science•2017

  • Mini-grids and renewable energy in rural Africa

    Open Access•Jonas M Eder, Christopher F Mutsaerts et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2015

  • Reducing energy demand through low carbon innovation

    Open Access•Frank W Geels, Tim Schwanen et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2017

  • Towards pragmatic narratives of societal engagement in the UK energy system

    Open Access•Iain Soutar, Catherine Mitchell•Energy Research & Social Science•2017

  • When social practices meet smart grids

    Open Access•Robin Smale, B J M van Vliet et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2017

  • Fantasy, values, and identity in biofuel innovation

    Open Access•Yuti Ariani Fatimah•Energy Research & Social Science•2015

  • The promise of peer-to-peer trading? The potential impact of blockchain on the actor configuration in the Dutch electricity system

    Open Access•M C Buth, Anna Wieczorek et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2019

  • From “living lab” to strategic action field

    Open Access•Weert Canzler, Franziska Engels et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2017

  • Thinking big? Ghana, small reactors, and nuclear power

    Open Access•M V Ramana, Priscilla Agyapong•Energy Research & Social Science•2016

  • The Sociology of the Future

    Open Access•Cynthia Selin•Sociology Compass•2008

  • Social futuring – In the context of futures studies

    Open Access•Eszter Monda•Society and Economy•2018

  • Ratings, Quality, and Accreditation

    Open Access•Ellen Hoffman•TechTrends•2013

  • Assistive spectacles

    Open Access•Steven Richardson, Steven L Richardson et al.•Social Theory & Health•2020

  • The Role of Forecasts in Planning for Energy Infrastructure

    Open Access•Clarence Hatton-Proulx, Clarence Hatton‐Proulx•Enterprise & Society•2024

  • A genealogy of social geomedia

    Open Access•Jordan Frith•New Media & Society•2022

  • Mobile versus headworn augmented reality

    Open Access•T Liao•New Media & Society•2016

  • Futures research, communication and the use of information and communication technology in households in 2010

    Open Access•Harry Bouwman, Patrick Van Der Duin•New Media & Society•2007

  • Rapidly diffusing innovation

    Paul Bellaby, Rob Flynn et al.•Innovation The European Journal…•2012

  • Translating local stakeholders' perception in rural development strategies under uncertainty conditions

    Open Access•A Lopolito, M Prosperi et al.•Journal of Rural Studies•2014

  • Pharmaceutical prospects

    Open Access•Richard Milne•Social Studies of Science•2012

  • The business of expectations

    Open Access•Neil Pollock, Robin Williams•Social Studies of Science•2010

  • Pharmacogenetics as Alien Science

    Open Access•Adam Hedgecoe•Social Studies of Science•2006

  • The best flood I ever had”

    Open Access•A Connelly, Paul O’hare et al.•Cities•2020

  • Politics of expectations

    Open Access•Jack J Porter, James J Porter et al.•Geoforum•2014

  • Back to the futures

    Open Access•Tomas Moe Skjølsvold•Futures•2014

  • Forecasts or fallacies

    Open Access•Erika Pearson•Futures•2009

  • The Japanese government’s promotion of automated driving driven by shared positive expectations

    Open Access•Yukari Yamasaki•Futures•2024

  • Innovation niches and socio-technical transition

    Open Access•A Lopolito, Piergiuseppe Morone et al.•Futures•2011

  • The evolving sociotechnical futures of outer space

    Open Access•Santiago Rementeria•Futures•2023

  • Home-personas meet energy narratives of demand response

    Open Access•Sofie Nyström, Cecilia Katzeff et al.•Futures•2024

  • Navigating urban futures

    Open Access•Alessandro Arlati•Futures•2024

  • Futures research and the IPCC assessment study on the effects of climate change

    Open Access•Göran Nordlund•Futures•2008

  • Investigating the drivers of innovation diffusion in a low income country context. The case of adoption of improved maize seed in Malawi

    Open Access•Sebastian Derwisch, Pierguiseppe Morone et al.•Futures•2016

  • The UK Covid-19 contact tracing app as both an emerging technology and public health intervention

    Open Access•Gabrielle Samuel, Rosie Sims•Health An Interdisciplinary…•2023

  • Landscape matters

    Open Access•Wei Weng, Stefanie L Becker et al.•Environmental Innovation and…•2020

  • Expectation dynamics and niche acceleration in China’s wind and solar power development

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    Bas Van Heur•International Journal of Heritage…•2010

  • Feelings of Discontent and the Promise of Middle Range Theory for STS

    Open Access•Frank W Geels•Science Technology & Human Values•2007

  • Exploring the Role of Dedicated Online Biotechnology News Providers in the Innovation Economy

    Open Access•Michael Morrison, Lucas Cornips•Science Technology & Human Values•2012

  • Back to the Future

    Open Access•B K Sovacool, M V Ramana•Science Technology & Human Values•2015

  • Expectations and the Emergence of Nanotechnology

    Open Access•Cynthia Selin•Science Technology & Human Values•2007

  • A sociohistorical reading of the Dictionnaire des Mondialisations. First steps towards a pragmatic approach to globalisation

    Open Access•Virginie Tournay, Anne‐laure Amilhat‐szary et al.•International Social Science…•2009

  • The making of mining expectations

    Simon Haikola, Jonas Anshelm•Social & Cultural Geography•2018

  • Wicked futures

    Open Access•Richard Tutton•The Sociological Review•2017

  • When the science fails and the ethics works

    Patricia Kingori•Anthropology and Medicine•2015

  • The Evolution of Technology

    Open Access•George Basalla•Evolution of Technology•1989

  • America Calling

    C S Fischer•America Calling•1992

  • Telecommunications and travel relationships

    Open Access•Ilan Salomon•Transportation Research Part A…•1986

  • Megatrends or megamistakes

    Open Access•Tom Forester•ACM SIGCAS Computers and Society•1992

  • Megatrends or megamistakes? What ever happened to the information society

    Tom Forester•The Information Society•1992

  • The telecommunications-transportation trade-off

    Open Access•Richard Foster, Richard H Foster•Futures•1977

  • The myth of the electronic cottage

    Open Access•Tom Forester•Futures•1988

Unique citing works72
Citations per year3,13
Citation span2003 - 2026 (24)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 71

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Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae