Food system futures in Finland
How do experts evaluate changes in resilience up to 2030
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9847210 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Pasi Rikkonen (0000-0002-0986-3326, Natural Resources Institute Finland, corresponding author), Karoliina Rimhanen (0000-0003-2018-5703, Natural Resources Institute Finland), Kalle Aro (0000-0002-4171-4304, Natural Resources Institute Finland) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 159 |
| Pages | 103364 |
| Publication date | 2024-05-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103364 |
| OpenAlex | W4392878153 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 28 |
Food security has received much attention since sudden shocks like Covid-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Resilience to sudden changes and disruptions is called for to maintain food availability in societies. In this study, potential disruptions and changes in the Finnish food system’s operating environment were evaluated. We focused on two future challenges: 1) what key disruptions will confront the food system until 2030; and 2) how will the Finnish food system change based on the experts’ views, and what measures will develop resilience up to 2030? We used the Delphi technique for data gathering. According to the results, the most significant shock at all three levels, national, EU, and global, was the disruptions caused by climate change (the increase in extreme climate and weather phenomena). An increase in the efficient recycling of nutrients was seen as most desirable, and an increase in the costs associated with recovery from disturbances and shocks was seen as most likely. Reducing inputs’ dependence on imports was seen as a key measure for developing resilience. Two constructed scenarios were presented, which highlight the determinants and uncertainties in the development of resilience in Finland
Economics · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Financial economics · Futures contract · Geography · Political science · Regional science · Resilience (materials science · Sociology · Agricultural risk and resilience · Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact · Environmental Science · Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis
Conceptualising Covid-19’s impacts on household food security
Food system resilience
Covid-19 risks to global food security
Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems
Scenarios
On what basis is it agriculture
The determinants of a resilient food system for Finland in the 2020s—three opinion polls for improvements based on a Delphi study among food system experts
Present realities’ and the need for a ‘lived experience’ perspective in Brexit agri-food governance
Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems
Food choices, health and environment
Greedy or needy? Land use and climate impacts of food in 2050 under different livestock futures
The role of hindsight in foresight
Resilience
Imagining transformative futures
Resilience Thinking
Codesigning a resilient food system
Regime Resistance against Low-Carbon Transitions
| Highly cited | No |
|---|