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Coping with uncertainty

Exploring the foresight actions’ role in supporting growth-orientation among Finnish dairy farmers

Bibliographic Data

ID9847418
AuthorsSusanna Lahnamäki-Kivelä (0000-0001-5011-459X, University of Helsinki, corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume135
Pages102870
Publication date2022-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFutures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.futures.2021.102870
OpenAlexW3215468583
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited51

The two objectives of this study are to investigate how Finnish dairy farmers cope with uncertainties of their external business environment and how they apply foresight methods in their strategic management, e.g., in planning for expansion. The research data consist of 135 survey responses from larger than average dairy farmers across Finland. To reveal the role of future thinking and long-term management in farmers’ goal setting, we first carried out an explorative factor analysis (EFA) for the management related claims. The identified latent factors were managerial, planning, and cautious approach. Significant differences in managerial approach were found with respect to turnover and age of farmers. Planning approach correlated with farmer’s time horizon. In the binary logistic regression for predicting the growth orientation farmer’s planning approach, age and length of time horizon were the only significant predictors. Many farmers are particularly cautious when it comes to planning the future of milk production. Strengthening farmers’ foresight skills with training may help farmers to cope with volatile business environments

Business · Business administration · Business management · Coping (psychology · Futures studies · Logistic regression · Scenario planning · Time horizon · Agricultural Economics and Policy · Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact · Computer Science · Marketing · Psychology · Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year1
Citation span2024 - 2026 (3)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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