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The Size of the Irregular Migrant Population in the European Union - Counting the Uncountable

Size of irregular population in the EU

Bibliographic Data

ID9953349
AuthorsDita Vogel (0000-0003-0221-5411, Hamburg Institute of International Economics, corresponding author), Vesela Kovacheva (0000-0001-7367-3394), Hannah Prescott (University of Oxford)
Year2011
Volume49
Issue5
Pages78-96
Publication date2011-09-16
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Migration (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-7985 • E-ISSN: 1468-2435
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1468-2435.2011.00700.x
PMID22167866
OpenAlexW1533079084
LanguageEN
Citations received17
References cited2

It is difficult to estimate the size of the irregular migrant population in a specific city or country, and even more difficult to arrive at estimates at the European level. A review of past attempts at European-level estimates reveals that they rely on rough and outdated rules-of-thumb. In this paper, we present our own European level estimates for 2002, 2005, and 2008. We aggregate country-specific information, aiming at approximate comparability by consistent use of minimum and maximum estimates and by adjusting for obvious differences in definition and timescale. While the aggregated estimates are not considered highly reliable, they do -- for the first time -- provide transparency. The provision of more systematic medium quality estimates is shown to be the most promising way for improvement. The presented estimate indicates a minimum of 1.9 million and a maximum of 3.8 million irregular foreign residents in the 27 member states of the European Union (2008). Unlike rules-of-thumb, the aggregated EU estimates indicate a decline in the number of irregular foreign residents between 2002 and 2008. This decline has been influenced by the EU enlargement and legalisation programmes

Comparability · Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Estimation · European union · Geography · International trade · Political science · Population · Rule of thumb · Sociology · Statistics · Transparency (behavior · Uncountable set · Demography · HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk · Law · Mathematics · Migration and Labor Dynamics · Sex work and related issues

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Unique citing works17
Citations per year1,42
Citation span2014 - 2025 (12)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 17

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