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Terry Sincich

Biographic Data

ID6045053
NAMETerry Sincich
GIVEN NAMESTerry
FAMILY NAMESincich
SIGNATURESINCICH T
AFFILIATIONSUniversity of South Florida
VERIFIEDNo
TOTAL WORKS2
TOTAL CITATIONS19
AUTHOR COUNT2
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR1988
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR1991
H-INDEX2
  • An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Length of Forecast Horizon on Population Forecast Errors

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith, Terry Sincich•ARTICLE•Demography•1991•Cited by: 4•References: 11

    Many studies have found that population forecast errors generally increase with the length of the forecast horizon, but none have examined this relationship in detail. Do errors grow linearly, exponentially, or in some other manner as the forecast horizon becomes longer? Does the error-horizon relationship differ by forecasting technique, launch year, size of place, or rate of growth? Do alternative measures of error make a difference? In this ar…

  • Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith, Terry Sincich•ARTICLE•Demography•1988•Cited by: 15•References: 21

    A number of studies in recent years have investigated empirical approaches to the production of confidence intervals for population projections. The critical assumption underlying these approaches is that the distribution of forecast errors remains stable over time. In this article, we evaluate this assumption by making population projections for states for a number of time periods during the 20th century, comparing these projections with census …

  • Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith, Terry Sincich•ARTICLE•Demography•1988•Cited by: 15•References: 21

    A number of studies in recent years have investigated empirical approaches to the production of confidence intervals for population projections. The critical assumption underlying these approaches is that the distribution of forecast errors remains stable over time. In this article, we evaluate this assumption by making population projections for states for a number of time periods during the 20th century, comparing these projections with census …

  • An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Length of Forecast Horizon on Population Forecast Errors

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith, Terry Sincich•ARTICLE•Demography•1991•Cited by: 4•References: 11

    Many studies have found that population forecast errors generally increase with the length of the forecast horizon, but none have examined this relationship in detail. Do errors grow linearly, exponentially, or in some other manner as the forecast horizon becomes longer? Does the error-horizon relationship differ by forecasting technique, launch year, size of place, or rate of growth? Do alternative measures of error make a difference? In this ar…

  • Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith, Terry Sincich•ARTICLE•Demography•1988•Cited by: 15•References: 21

    A number of studies in recent years have investigated empirical approaches to the production of confidence intervals for population projections. The critical assumption underlying these approaches is that the distribution of forecast errors remains stable over time. In this article, we evaluate this assumption by making population projections for states for a number of time periods during the 20th century, comparing these projections with census …

  • An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Length of Forecast Horizon on Population Forecast Errors

    Open Access•Stanley K Smith, Terry Sincich•ARTICLE•Demography•1991•Cited by: 4•References: 11

    Many studies have found that population forecast errors generally increase with the length of the forecast horizon, but none have examined this relationship in detail. Do errors grow linearly, exponentially, or in some other manner as the forecast horizon becomes longer? Does the error-horizon relationship differ by forecasting technique, launch year, size of place, or rate of growth? Do alternative measures of error make a difference? In this ar…

demographic modeling and climate adaptation (2 works) · Demography (2 works) · Demography (2 works) · Econometrics (2 works) · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management (2 works) · Mathematics (2 works) · Population (2 works) · Statistics (2 works) · Computer Science (1 works) · Confidence interval (1 works)

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