Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23362434 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Isaac M Held (0000-0002-6744-439X, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey), Brian J Soden (0000-0001-9693-8236, Rosenstiel School for Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 19 |
| Issue | 21 |
| Pages | 5686-5699 |
| Publication date | 2006-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Climate (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0894-8755 • E-ISSN: 1520-0442 |
| Publisher | American Meteorological Society (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1175/jcli3990.1 |
| OpenAlex | W2122511023 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 171 |
| References cited | 23 |
Using the climate change experiments generated for the Fourth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this study examines some aspects of the changes in the hydrological cycle that are robust across the models. These responses include the decrease in convective mass fluxes, the increase in horizontal moisture transport, the associated enhancement of the pattern of evaporation minus precipitation and its temporal variance, and the decrease in the horizontal sensible heat transport in the extratropics. A surprising finding is that a robust decrease in extratropical sensible heat transport is found only in the equilibrium climate response, as estimated in slab ocean responses to the doubling of CO2, and not in transient climate change scenarios. All of these robust responses are consequences of the increase in lower-tropospheric water vapor.
Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Convection · Diurnal cycle · Extratropical cyclone · Geography · Global warming · Latent heat · Meteorology · Precipitation · Sensible heat · Troposphere · Water cycle · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Atmospheric Ozone and Climate · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Geology
Chronostratigraphy and lake-level changes of Laguna Cari-Laufquén, Río Negro, Argentina
Late Holocene hydroclimatic history of the Galilee Mountains from sedimentary records of the Sea of Galilee, Israel
High-resolution reconstruction of infiltration in the Southern Cook Islands based on trace elements in speleothems
Holocene hydroclimate and dust activity, as reconstructed from the sediments of Lake Bayanchagan, on the northern margin of the East Asian summer monsoon
A new paleoclimate perspective shows that arid regions will be drier under global warming conditions
Target Atmospheric CO
Changes in precipitation with climate change
Análisis De Las Temperaturas Medias Y Sus Extremos a Partir De Diferentes Índices Durante El Período 1966-2015 en El Norte Grande Chileno
Perception of climate change
Precipitation
Tropical cyclones and climate change
The Global Food‐Energy‐Water Nexus
Changes in Climate Extremes and their Impacts on the Natural Physical Environment
Stationarity Is Dead
On underestimation of global vulnerability to tree mortality and forest die‐off from hotter drought in the Anthropocene
Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming
Assessing “Dangerous Climate Change”
Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America
Global temperature change
Dryland climate change
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment
Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions
Megadroughts in North America
The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale
Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall
Holocene climate variability in the Levant from the Dead Sea pollen record
Heat index extremes increasing several times faster than the air temperature
Changes and inter-model spread in 21st century scenarios for temperature and precipitation extremes as seen with the climate change index (CCI)
To what extent can cirrus cloud seeding counteract global warming
Sensitivity of regional monsoons to idealised equatorial volcanic eruption of different sulfur emission strengths
Increasing annual streamflow and groundwater storage in response to climate warming in the Yangtze River source region
Brucite-inspired ocean alkalinity enhancement alters the biogeochemistry and composition of a phytoplankton community
Intensification of summer precipitation with shorter time-scales in Europe
Causes of future Mediterranean precipitation decline depend on the season
Major factors of global and regional monsoon rainfall changes
Precipitation sensitivity to warming estimated from long island records
Increasing precipitation whiplash in climate change hotspots
Unveiling the neglected driver of February 2024 compound cold-wet extremes over central China
Impacts of climate extremes on gross primary production under global warming
The transient response of global-mean precipitation to increasing carbon dioxide levels
The recycling rate of atmospheric moisture over the past two decades (1988–2009)
Improved estimates of water cycle change from ocean salinity
Precipitation-induced abrupt decrease of Siberian wildfire in summer 2022 under continued warming
Direct versus indirect effects of tropospheric humidity changes on the hydrologic cycle
Aerosol forcing of extreme summer drought over North China
Drivers, timing and some impacts of global aridity change
Changes in climate extremes over West and Central Africa at 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
Skilful seasonal predictions of global monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3
Extreme precipitation response to climate perturbations in an atmospheric mesoscale model
Using machine learning to build temperature-based ozone parameterizations for climate sensitivity simulations
Compound marine heatwaves and low sea surface salinity extremes over the tropical Pacific Ocean
On the possible use of geoengineering to moderate specific climate change impacts
Sensitivity of regional climate to global temperature and forcing
Do responses to different anthropogenic forcings add linearly in climate models
Similar patterns of tropical precipitation and circulation changes under solar and greenhouse gas forcing
Disentangling physical and dynamical drivers of the 2016/17 record-breaking warm winter in China
Future projections of temperature and precipitation for Antarctica
A unifying view of climate change in the Sahel linking intra-seasonal, interannual and longer time scales
More prolonged droughts by the end of the century in the Middle East
The drivers of nonlinear local temperature change under global warming
Will surface winds weaken in response to global warming
Implications of a decrease in the precipitation area for the past and the future
What drives historical and future changes in photovoltaic power production from the perspective of global warming
Physically based equation representing the forcing-driven precipitation in climate models
Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850–2100
Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017
An increase in global trends of tropical cyclone translation speed since 1982 and its physical causes
Are global tropical cyclones moving slower in a warming climate
Global terrestrial stilling
Response of moist and dry processes in atmospheric blocking to climate change
Changes of tropical cyclone activity in a warming world are sensitive to sea surface temperature environment
Increasing cloud water resource in a warming world
A comparison of large scale changes in surface humidity over land in observations and CMIP3 general circulation models
Are climate-related changes to the character of global-mean precipitation predictable
Changing seasonality of panarctic tundra vegetation in relationship to climatic variables
Mediterranean water cycle changes
Radiative feedbacks on global precipitation
Characteristics and mechanisms of the severe compound cold-wet event in southern China during February 2022
Precipitation changes within dynamical regimes in a perturbed climate
Aridity changes in the Tibetan Plateau in a warming climate
Response of precipitation extremes to warming
Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017
Distinct changes in the vertical structure of QBO amplitude due to tropical upwelling and wave forcing
Forced response and internal variability changes in the hydrological cycle and general circulation in a hot world beyond 2100 in the Community Earth System Model
Feedback mechanisms of shallow convective clouds in a warmer climate as demonstrated by changes in buoyancy
Future changes in precipitation extremes over Southeast Asia
Half of the world’s population experience robust changes in the water cycle for a 2 °C warmer world
Current changes in tropical precipitation
Fingerprints of external forcings on Sahel rainfall
Attribution of the impacts of the 2008 flooding in Cedar Rapids (Iowa) to anthropogenic forcing
Stratospheric aerosol injection does not cause stronger Asian monsoon drying than greenhouse gas mitigation
Changes in temporal variability of precipitation over land due to anthropogenic forcings
Sharp decline of dust events induces regional wetting over arid and semi-arid Northwest China in the NCAR Community atmosphere model
Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends
Highly inhomogeneous interactions between background climate and urban warming across typical local climate zones in heatwave and non-heatwave days
Recalibrated projections of the Hadley circulation under global warming
Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions
Sea surface temperature inter-hemispheric dipole and its relation to tropical precipitation
| Unique citing works | 171 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 8,55 |
| Citation span | 2006 - 2026 (21) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 162 |