Kenneth E Warner
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 1037166 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Kenneth E Warner |
| NOMBRES | Kenneth E |
| APELLIDO | Warner |
| FIRMA | WARNER K E |
| AFILIACIONES | University of Michigan |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-8214-1776 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 74 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 170 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 74 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 1974 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2024 |
| ÍNDICE H | 8 |
Transformation of the tobacco product market in Japan, 2011–2023
While many factors may account for the decreased sale of cigarettes in Japan over the past 12 years, the increased sale of HTPs appears to be a factor
Evaluating trends in cigarette and HTP use in Japan and measurement issues in the National Health and Nutrition Survey
While suggesting that HTPs helped some people who smoke to quit smoking, this study also shows the difficulties in eliciting accurate survey responses about product use and distinguishing the impact of a potentially harm-reducing product in an environment subject to rapidly evolving patterns of use
Kids No Longer Smoke Cigarettes. Why Aren’t We Celebrating
Trends in US Adult Smoking Prevalence, 2011 to 2022
This cross-sectional study found that smoking prevalence decreased from 2011 to 2022 in all age groups except adults 65 years or older, with faster decreases among younger than older adults. These findings suggest that the greatest gains in terms of reducing smoking-attributable morbidity and mortality could be achieved by focusing on individuals with low socioeconomic status, as this population has the highest smoking rates and the worst health …
The evolution of age-specific smoking cessation rates in the United States from 2009 to 2017
The Kalman filter approach offers a real-time estimation of cessation rates that can be helpful for monitoring smoking cessation behavior
From Perth to Wellington
Balfour et al. Respond
AffiliationsDavid J. K. Balfour is retired from the Division of Systems Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK. Neal L. Benowitz is with the Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco. Suzanne M. Colby is with the Department of Psychiatry and Human Behavior, Alpert Medical School, Brown University, Providence, RI. Dorothy K. Hatsukami is with the Department of Psychiatry and Behavio…
Balfour et al. Respond
Toward a More Comprehensive Index of Youth Cigarette Smoking
Reliance on 30-day prevalence as the principal means of assessing trends in youth cigarette smoking may understate the magnitude of the decrease in youth smoking, because prevalence does not account for smoking frequency or intensity. We analyzed Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) data from 1997 through 2017 and estimated cigarette smoking prevalence (any smoking in the previous 30 days), frequency (number of smoking days in the previous 30 days),…
Public health impact of a US ban on menthol in cigarettes and cigars
Our findings strongly support the implementation of a ban on menthol in cigarettes and cigars
Balancing Consideration of the Risks and Benefits of E-Cigarettes
The topic of e-cigarettes is controversial. Opponents focus on e-cigarettes’ risks for young people, while supporters emphasize the potential for e-cigarettes to assist smokers in quitting smoking. Most US health organizations, media coverage, and policymakers have focused primarily on risks to youths. Because of their messaging, much of the public—including most smokers—now consider e-cigarette use as dangerous as or more dangerous than smoking.…
How much of the future mortality toll of smoking can be avoided
Public health can address only the future toll of future smoking. Smoking's MPRPM is the reduction in the mortality burden of smoking that tobacco control can strive to achieve
Will 5.6 million current American youth eventually die from smoking? The anatomy of a commonly accepted tobacco control measure
The SGR estimate depended on assumptions that no longer held a few years later. Yet advocates for youth smoking prevention cite it frequently today. Considerations such as this paper's calculations, decreasing smoking initiation rates, increasing cessation, better screening for and treatment of smoking-related diseases, and smoking's increasing social unacceptability suggest that smoking's death toll for today's youth will be far lower than conte…
Examining the relationship of vaping to smoking initiation among US youth and young adults
The inverse relationship between vaping and smoking was robust across different data sets for both youth and young adults and for current and more established smoking. While trying electronic cigarettes may causally increase smoking among some youth, the aggregate effect at the population level appears to be negligible given the reduction in smoking initiation during the period of vaping's ascendance
Smoking and Health
An evaluation of the FDA's analysis of the costs and benefits of the graphic warning label regulation
The Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act of 2009 gave the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulatory authority over cigarettes and smokeless tobacco products and authorised it to assert jurisdiction over other tobacco products. As with other Federal agencies, FDA is required to assess the costs and benefits of its significant regulatory actions. To date, FDA has issued economic impact analyses of one proposed and one final rule re…
Impact of Tobacco Control on Adult per Capita Cigarette Consumption in the United States
Objectives. We assessed the impact of tobacco control on adult per capita cigarette consumption in the United States from 1964 to 2011. Methods. We used logit regression to model the diffusion of smoking from 1900 to 2011. We also projected hypothetical cigarette consumption after 1963 in the absence of tobacco control. Model predictors included historical events such as wars, specific tobacco control interventions, and other influences. Results.…
Years Since the First Surgeon General’s Report on Smoking and Health
Death and taxes
As the old adage attributed to Benjamin Franklin puts it, there are only two things in life that are certain: death and taxes. In the case of cigarette smoking, they are closely related. Raising cigarette prices, primarily by increasing cigarette taxes, reduces smoking, and thereby reduces smoking-produced death and disability. Indeed, there is no more effective weapon in the arsenal of evidence-based tobacco control policies. Taxation has become…
Growth in Tobacco Control publications by authors from low- and middle-income countries
Efforts to expand research by LMIC authors and about LMIC issues have begun to bear fruit, with a recent substantial increase. Still, the centrality of LMICs in the global tobacco pandemic implies that this progress only begins to address the enormous need
The potential impact of smoking control policies on future global smoking trends
The estimates indicate the magnitude and trajectory of the global tobacco pandemic and of the impact the authors could expect if evidence-based tobacco control policies were applied immediately and universally throughout the world. As half of lifetime smokers die of tobacco-related diseases, if MPOWER were applied globally, within a few decades, many millions of premature tobacco-related deaths would be avoided
The impact of tobacco control research on policy
Policy research goals established in 1992 have been largely realised. For select tobacco control policies, research has made truly important contributions to saving lives. Evidence-based policy adoption will continue to be essential to minimising the toll of tobacco, especially in the world's poorer countries
Accuracy and Importance of Projections From a Dynamic Simulation Model of Smoking Prevalence in the United States
We compared projections from a dynamic model of US adult smoking prevalence with official estimates of prevalence from the National Health Interview Survey. Ten years after they were made, the model projections closely fit the National Health Interview Survey estimates for 2005 and 2010. We conclude that a verified model of adult smoking prevalence can assist governmental authorities in establishing aspirational but feasible targets for tobacco c…
The Impact of Declining Smoking on Radon-Related Lung Cancer in the United States
Objectives. We examined the effect of current patterns of smoking rates on future radon-related lung cancer. Methods. We combined the model developed by the National Academy of Science's Committee on Health Risks of Exposure to Radon (the BEIR VI committee) for radon risk assessment with a forecasting model of US adult smoking prevalence to estimate proportional decline in radon-related deaths during the present century with and without mitigatio…
Preventing Mental, Emotional, and Behavioral Disorders Among Young People
Several decades of research have shown that the promise and potential lifetime benefits of preventing mental, emotional, and behavioural (MEB) disorders are greatest by focusing on young people and that early interventions can be effective in delaying or preventing the onset of such disorders. National priorities that build on this evidence base should include (1) assurance that individuals who are at risk receive the best available evidence-base…
Smoking by blacks and whites
Using data from the 1985 National Health Interview Survey for persons aged 25-64 years, we controlled simultaneously for socioeconomic status (SES), demographic factors, and race in multivariate logistic regression analyses. We found that the odds of ever smoking are not higher for Blacks compared with Whites, when the other variables are controlled. By contrast, the odds of heavy smoking for Blacks are far less than for Whites, while Blacks are …
The effects of the anti-smoking campaign on cigarette consumption
The impact of the anti-smoking campaign on the consumption of cigarettes is measured by fitting cigarette demand functions to pre-campaign dat, projecting "ahead" as if the campaign had not occurred, and then comparing these predictions with realized consumption. The analysis suggests that major "events" in the campaign (e.g., the Surgeon General's Report) caused immediate though transitory decreases of 4 to 5 per cent in annual per capita consum…
Nondaily Smokers
Objective. We sought to understand who constitutes the sizable population of nondaily, or some-day (SD), smokers. Methods. We analyzed descriptive statistics and regression results using the 1998–1999 Current Population Survey Tobacco Use Supplement to determine the prevalence of SD smokers, their sociodemographic characteristics, and the smoking patterns and histories of groups differentiated by the length and stability of their SD smoking. Resu…
The need for some innovative concepts of innovation
Adult Cigarette Smoking Prevalence
We compared observed smoking prevalence data for 1995–2002 with predictions derived from a previously published population dynamics model to determine whether the recent trend in smoking prevalence is consistent with the downward pattern we predicted. The observed data fit our projections closely (R 2 = .89). Consistent with the logic underlying the model, we conclude that adult smoking prevalence will continue to fall for the foreseeable future,…
Balancing Consideration of the Risks and Benefits of E-Cigarettes
The topic of e-cigarettes is controversial. Opponents focus on e-cigarettes’ risks for young people, while supporters emphasize the potential for e-cigarettes to assist smokers in quitting smoking. Most US health organizations, media coverage, and policymakers have focused primarily on risks to youths. Because of their messaging, much of the public—including most smokers—now consider e-cigarette use as dangerous as or more dangerous than smoking.…
Tobacco taxation as health policy in the Third World
Tobacco Taxation as Health Policy in the Third World In a read-my-lips era of no new taxes, US legislators eagerly seek out revenue enhancers, user fees, and other euphemistically labeled devices that can reduce budget deficits while minimizing the perception of burden on the taxpayer (or revenue-enhancing citizen). A case in point is the commodity excise tax, most commonly applied in the United States to tobacco products, alcoholic beverages, an…
Effects of the antismoking campaign
In the absence of the antismoking campaign, adult per capita cigarette consumption in 1987 would have been an estimated 79-89 per cent higher than the level actually experienced. The smoking prevalence of all birth cohorts of men and women born during this century is well below that which would have been expected in the absence of the campaign. As a consequence, in 1985 an estimated 56 million Americans were smokers; without the campaign, an esti…
The Role of Research in International Tobacco Control
The future of the tobacco-produced disease epidemic rests in low- and middle-income countries, where cigarette sales are growing—the result of rising incomes, trade liberalization, liberalization of the treatment of women, and the introduction of Western-style advertising. Research on disease causation, epidemiology, and educational and policy interventions has contributed significantly to reducing smoking rates in developed countries. A similar …
Tobacco industry scientific advisors
According to industry documents, the tobacco industry has executed a "brilliantly conceived" strategy to "creat[e] doubt" in the public's mind about whether cigarette smoking is in fact a serious cause of disease. A component of this strategy has been the funding of scientific research "into the gaps in knowledge in the smoking controversy." Grant review and selection are performed by a group of independent scientists. Knowledgeable observers bel…
A cost-effectiveness analysis of exercise as a health promotion activity
We used cost-effectiveness analysis to estimate the health and economic implications of exercise in preventing coronary heart disease (CHD). We assumed that nonexercisers have a relative risk of 2.0 for a CHD event. Two hypothetical cohorts (one with exercise and the other without exercise) of 1,000 35-year-old men were followed for 30 years to observe differences in the number of CHD events, life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy.…
State legislation on smoking and health
Impact of Tobacco Control on Adult per Capita Cigarette Consumption in the United States
Objectives. We assessed the impact of tobacco control on adult per capita cigarette consumption in the United States from 1964 to 2011. Methods. We used logit regression to model the diffusion of smoking from 1900 to 2011. We also projected hypothetical cigarette consumption after 1963 in the absence of tobacco control. Model predictors included historical events such as wars, specific tobacco control interventions, and other influences. Results.…
Setting a Challenging Yet Realistic Smoking Prevalence Target for Healthy People 2020
Objectives. We sought to outline an optimistic yet achievable goal for future US smoking prevalence rates based on empirical evidence reflecting the success of smoking control efforts in California. Methods. Using a dynamic model and the smoking initiation and cessation rates achieved in California as a guide, we projected US adult smoking prevalence rates through the year 2020. Results. If smoking initiation and cessation rates for the nation do…
The Landscape in Global Tobacco Control Research
Smoking prevalence is shifting from more- to less-developed countries. In higher-income countries, smoking surveillance data, tailored treatments, public health campaigns, and research-based policy implementation have led to a decrease in tobacco use. In low- and middle-income countries, translating research into practice and policy is integral for tobacco control. We describe the landscape of existing resources, both financial and structural, to…
Decrease in the Prevalence of Environmental Tobacco Smoke Exposure in the Home During the 1990s in Families With Children
Objectives. This study explored correlates with and changes in the prevalence of environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) exposure of children in the home. Methods. We used multiple logistic regression to explore ETS exposures as reported in the 1992 and 2000 National Health Interview Survey. Results. ETS exposure in homes with children declined from 35.6% to 25.1% (P Conclusions. Home ETS exposure declined sharply between 1992 and 2000, more than would…
Toward a more realistic appraisal of the lung cancer risk from radon
OBJECTIVES: A consideration of the effects of residential mobility produces much more realistic estimates of typical individuals' radon exposures and mortality risks than those of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). METHODS: A model linking residential mobility, the distribution of radon in US homes, and lung cancer risk is used to simulate lifetime radon exposure, with and without mitigation of high-radon homes, for typical mobile individ…
What's a Cigarette Company to Do
To read the cigarette manufacturers' Web sites, one would think the industry must be a wholly owned subsidiary of the Public Health Service. The sites warn about the dangers of smoking, say smoking is addictive, list chemicals added in manufacturing cigarettes, encourage smoke-free environments for nonsmokers, and offer smokers Web-based quitting resources.1–3 Industry leader Philip Morris sounds downright altruistic in its enunciated commitment …
Smoking and health
Smoking and health: a 25-year perspective. K E WarnerCopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.79.2.141 Published Online: October 07, 2011
Years Since the First Surgeon General’s Report on Smoking and Health
The Impact of Declining Smoking on Radon-Related Lung Cancer in the United States
Objectives. We examined the effect of current patterns of smoking rates on future radon-related lung cancer. Methods. We combined the model developed by the National Academy of Science's Committee on Health Risks of Exposure to Radon (the BEIR VI committee) for radon risk assessment with a forecasting model of US adult smoking prevalence to estimate proportional decline in radon-related deaths during the present century with and without mitigatio…
Tobacco Control Success Versus Demographic Destiny
We examined the effect of demographics on California’s low smoking prevalence. We estimated that if the United States had the same demographics as California, then the US adult smoking prevalence in 2005 would have been 19.3%, 1.6 percentage points lower than the reported 20.9% for the United States, but 4.1 percentage points higher than California’s prevalence of 15.2% in 2005. Tobacco control appears to be a much more important factor than demo…
Involuntary Smoking and Children's Health
Jonathan M. Samet, Eugene M. Lewit, Kenneth E. Warner, Involuntary Smoking and Children's Health, The Future of Children, Vol. 4, No. 3, Critical Health Issues for Children and Youth (Winter, 1994), pp. 94-114
Profits of doom
Profits of doom. K E WarnerCopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.83.9.1211 Published Online: October 07, 2011
Premature deaths avoided by the antismoking campaign
The antismoking campaign has encouraged millions of people to quit smoking cigarettes and millions of others not to initiate the habit. Because quitting smoking, or deciding not to start, reduces one's mortality risks relative to the continuing smoker, we estimate that these consumption impacts resulted in the avoidance of more than 200,000 premature smoking-related deaths during 1964-1978. On average, each of these premature deaths averted trans…
The need for some innovative concepts of innovation
The Economics of Health Resources
Assistant Professor, Department of Health Planning and Administration, School of Public Health, University of Michigan; Visiting Scholar, National Bureau of Economic Research
The effects of the anti-smoking campaign on cigarette consumption
The impact of the anti-smoking campaign on the consumption of cigarettes is measured by fitting cigarette demand functions to pre-campaign dat, projecting "ahead" as if the campaign had not occurred, and then comparing these predictions with realized consumption. The analysis suggests that major "events" in the campaign (e.g., the Surgeon General's Report) caused immediate though transitory decreases of 4 to 5 per cent in annual per capita consum…
Treatment Decision Making in Catastrophic Illness
Through conceptual discussion and consideration of a case study, this paper examines how physicians respond to the availability of an innovative treatment of a serious illness. It is argued that the unusual economic environment of the delivery of catastrophic illness care works with the "social contract" in medicine to encourage the use of innovative therapies, even before their efficacy has been demonstrated and often irrespective of their costs…
Health maintenance insurance
Hospital Certificate-of-Need Controls
Associate Professor Department of Health Planning and Administration School of Public Health University of Michigan
Cost-Benefit and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Health Care
Concern about the escalating costs of health services is reflected in the rapid growth of the literature on cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analysis (CBA and CEA, respectively) in health care. A search of that literature for 1966--78 produced a bibliography of more than 500 relevant references, growing from half a dozen per year at the beginning of the period to close to 100 each of the most recent 2 years. The literature growth has been more…
State legislation on smoking and health
Cost-Benefit and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Health Care
Cost-Benefit and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Health Care
Premature deaths avoided by the antismoking campaign
The antismoking campaign has encouraged millions of people to quit smoking cigarettes and millions of others not to initiate the habit. Because quitting smoking, or deciding not to start, reduces one's mortality risks relative to the continuing smoker, we estimate that these consumption impacts resulted in the avoidance of more than 200,000 premature smoking-related deaths during 1964-1978. On average, each of these premature deaths averted trans…
Television and health education
Television and health education: stay tuned. K E WarnerCopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.77.2.140 Published Online: October 07, 2011
Is Prevention Better Than Cure
Smoking by blacks and whites
Using data from the 1985 National Health Interview Survey for persons aged 25-64 years, we controlled simultaneously for socioeconomic status (SES), demographic factors, and race in multivariate logistic regression analyses. We found that the odds of ever smoking are not higher for Blacks compared with Whites, when the other variables are controlled. By contrast, the odds of heavy smoking for Blacks are far less than for Whites, while Blacks are …
A cost-effectiveness analysis of exercise as a health promotion activity
We used cost-effectiveness analysis to estimate the health and economic implications of exercise in preventing coronary heart disease (CHD). We assumed that nonexercisers have a relative risk of 2.0 for a CHD event. Two hypothetical cohorts (one with exercise and the other without exercise) of 1,000 35-year-old men were followed for 30 years to observe differences in the number of CHD events, life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy.…
Issues in Cost Effectiveness in Health Care
Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is becoming increasingly popular as society moves toward rationalizing health costs. This review describes the applications and limitations of the technique. Conceptually simple though frequently complicated in application, CEA compares the cost of a procedure with its effectiveness, thus helping an administrator to judge whether the procedure is worth its cost. CEA also permits comparison of various intervention…
Smoking and health
Smoking and health: a 25-year perspective. K E WarnerCopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.79.2.141 Published Online: October 07, 2011
Effects of the antismoking campaign
In the absence of the antismoking campaign, adult per capita cigarette consumption in 1987 would have been an estimated 79-89 per cent higher than the level actually experienced. The smoking prevalence of all birth cohorts of men and women born during this century is well below that which would have been expected in the absence of the campaign. As a consequence, in 1985 an estimated 56 million Americans were smokers; without the campaign, an esti…
Tobacco taxation as health policy in the Third World
Tobacco Taxation as Health Policy in the Third World In a read-my-lips era of no new taxes, US legislators eagerly seek out revenue enhancers, user fees, and other euphemistically labeled devices that can reduce budget deficits while minimizing the perception of burden on the taxpayer (or revenue-enhancing citizen). A case in point is the commodity excise tax, most commonly applied in the United States to tobacco products, alcoholic beverages, an…
Tobacco industry scientific advisors
According to industry documents, the tobacco industry has executed a "brilliantly conceived" strategy to "creat[e] doubt" in the public's mind about whether cigarette smoking is in fact a serious cause of disease. A component of this strategy has been the funding of scientific research "into the gaps in knowledge in the smoking controversy." Grant review and selection are performed by a group of independent scientists. Knowledgeable observers bel…
Targeting of cigarette advertising in US magazines, 1959-86
Correspondence to : Dr Warner. Abstract Objective To examine whether and to what extent targeting of cigarette ad vertising has occurred in magazines in the United States from 1959 to 1986. Design Analysis of data on advertising revenues and readership demographics for 92 magazines categorized by type of magazine (women's, sports, news, high brow) and by the occupational class of the readership (crafts and trade and professional). Main outcome me…
Report of the Tobacco Policy Research Study Group on Tobacco Marketing and Promotion
In this report a distinction is drawn between two categories of marketing and promotion activities. The first and most familiar category includes activities typically denoted by “advertising and promotion”, entailing tobacco company efforts targeted directly at tobacco consumers or prospective consumers and intended to encourage tobacco use (either initiation or maintenance, and either brand specific or brand neutral smoking). The second category…
Warner Responds
Warner Responds Kenneth E. Warner Peter Sandiford, George Davey Smith, and Edward Coyle CopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.82.9.1293-a Published Online: October 07, 2011
Effects of workplace health promotion not demonstrated
Effects of workplace health promotion not demonstrated. K E WarnerCopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.82.1.126 Published Online: October 07, 2011
Policy issues
Medicine (54 obras) · Environmental health (37 obras) · Smoking Behavior and Cessation (37 obras) · Political science (33 obras) · Public health (32 obras) · Business (26 obras) · Tobacco control (23 obras) · Demography (20 obras) · Economics (19 obras) · Population (18 obras)