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Tomoko Hasegawa

Datos Biográficos

ID4422882
NOMBRETomoko Hasegawa
NOMBRESTomoko
APELLIDOHasegawa
FIRMAHASEGAWA T
AFILIACIONESRitsumeikan University
ORCID0000-0003-2456-5789
VERIFICADOSí
TOTAL DE OBRAS52
TOTAL DE CITAS493
TOTAL COMO AUTOR52
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN2007
AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN2026
ÍNDICE H6
  • Afforestation and reforestation have varying biodiversity impacts across and within biomes

    Open Access•Pavithra Rangani Wijenayake, Kazuaki Tsuchiya et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2026

    Afforestation and reforestation (AR) are effective strategies for large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and climate change mitigation, as they offer the potential to sequester vegetation and soil carbon. However, the expansion of AR raises concerns about the adverse impacts on biodiversity. While local studies have assessed these impacts, global-scale evaluations remain limited. Our study addressed the need for a comprehensive approach to miti…

  • Global soil organic carbon sequestration potential under sustainable food systems and climate mitigation

    Open Access•Dianti Farhana Kamasela, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2025

    Soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration is a key nature-based solution to mitigate climate change. Previous studies have highlighted its potential and the role of improve management practice, but many relied on static land-use assumptions or limited spatial data, overlooking socio-economic and climate-driven changes that affect land availability. This study assessed the global SOC sequestration potential of cropland and bioenergy land under three…

  • Priority climate and health modelling needs

    Open Access•Kristie L Ebi, Peng Bi et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet Planetary Health•2025

    Climate and health modelling is necessary for improving understanding of the current and future distribution and timing of climate-related health risks. However, underinvestment in this area has limited the understanding required to inform policies that enable multisectoral interventions to safeguard health. We synthesised insights from a survey of 65 global climate and health modelling experts and 36 participants in a hybrid meeting to identify …

  • Bundling measures for food systems transformation

    Open Access•Marina Sundiang, Thais Diniz Oliveira et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet Planetary Health•2025•Referencias: 9

  • Fish as food

    Open Access•Shujuan Xia, Jun’ya Takakura et al.•ARTICLE•Food Policy•2025•Referencias: 1

  • Future fire-PM 2.5 mortality varies depending on climate and socioeconomic changes

    Open Access•Chae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2024

    Fire emits hazardous air pollutants, the most dominant of which is fine particulate matter of diameter ⩽2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ). PM 2.5 is a great concern due to its adverse effects on public health. Previous studies have examined the health burden from fire-related PM 2.5 for the historical period; however, future global mortality associated with fire-PM 2.5 , particularly under the coexisting impacts of climate and socioeconomic changes, is yet to be…

  • Benefits of air quality for human health resulting from climate change mitigation through dietary change and food loss prevention policy

    Open Access•Thanapat Jansakoo, Satoshi Sekizawa et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2024•Referencias: 6

    Food production, particularly cattle husbandry, contributes significantly to air pollution and its associated health hazards. However, making changes in dietary habits, such as reducing red meat consumption and minimizing food waste, can lead to substantial improvements in both air quality and human health. In this study, we explored the impact of dietary changes on future air quality and human wellbeing. We also assessed the influence of dietary…

  • Important distinctiveness of SSP3–7.0 for use in impact assessments

    Open Access•Hideo Shiogama, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2023

  • Alternative, but expensive, energy transition scenario featuring carbon capture and utilization can preserve existing energy demand technologies

    Open Access•Ken Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•One Earth•2023

    To reach net-zero carbon emissions, most climate change mitigation scenarios model a rapid transition from hydrocarbon-based energy to renewables, wide-scale electrification, and offsets to mitigate residual emissions. This requires phasing out existing hydrocarbon infrastructure and adjustments to electrification. Carbon capture and utilization (CCU) to produce synthetic fuels could be an alternative way to reach net zero while maintaining some …

  • Total economic costs of climate change at different discount rates for market and non-market values

    Open Access•Takahiro Oda, Jun’ya Takakura et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2023

    What will be the aggregated cost of climate change in achieving the Paris Agreement, including mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts? Several studies estimated the aggregated cost but did not always consider the critical issues. Some do not address non-market values such as biodiversity and human health, and most do not address differentiating discount rates. In this study, we estimate the aggregated cost of climate change using an integra…

  • Potential side effects of climate change mitigation on poverty and countermeasures

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2023•Citada por: 1•Referencias: 14

    Many countries have set ambitious long-term emissions reduction targets for reaching the goal in alignment with the Paris Agreement. However, large-scale emission reduction efforts may influence poverty by various economic channels. Here, we show the extent to which climate change mitigation, excluding climate change impacts, has the potential to increase poverty, and have identified its factors such as income, price changes, and direct and indir…

  • Impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on fire carbon emissions in the future

    Open Access•Chae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2023•Citada por: 2•Referencias: 2

    Fires and their associated carbon and air pollutant emissions have a broad range of environmental and societal impacts, including negative effects on human health, damage to terrestrial ecosystems, and indirect effects that promote climate change. Previous studies investigated future carbon emissions from the perspective of response to climate change and population growth, but the compound effects of other factors like economic development and la…

  • Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target

    Open Access•Shiya Zhao, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2022•Citada por: 2•Referencias: 9

    Many countries have taken stringent climate policies to minimize the risks by climate change. But these policies could burden households and the poor with the extra costs and threaten their wellbeing. However, the consequences of climate policies on poverty and welfare loss are seldom presented in stringent long-term climate change mitigation projections. Carbon pricing is a cost-effective approach; how it affects households varies among countrie…

  • Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot

    Open Access•Keywan Riahi, Christoph Bertram et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2021

  • Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress

    Open Access•Giacomo Grassi, Elke Stehfest et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2021

  • Land-based climate change mitigation potentials within the agenda for sustainable development

    Open Access•Stefan Frank, Mykola Gusti et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2021

    Even though enormous expectations for greenhouse gas mitigation in the land use sector exist at the same time worries about potential implications for sustainable development have been raised as many Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are closely tied to developments in the sector. Here we assess the implications of achieving selected key SDG indicators for Zero Hunger, Clean Water and Sanitation, Responsible Consumption and Production, and Lif…

  • Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions

    Open Access•Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2021•Citada por: 2•Referencias: 14

  • Global bioenergy with carbon capture and storage potential is largely constrained by sustainable irrigation

    Open Access•Zhipin Ai, Naota Hanasaki et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2021•Referencias: 12

  • Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

    Open Access•G C Hurtt, Louise Chini et al.•ARTICLE•Geoscientific Model Development•2020

    Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has d…

  • Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

    Open Access•David Leclère, Michael Obersteiner et al.•ARTICLE•Nature•2020

    Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the ecosystem services that it provides1,2. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as reversing the declining trends in biodiversity3; however, just feeding the growing human population will make this a challenge4. Here we use an ensemble of land-use and biodiversity models to assess whether—and how—humanity can reverse the declines in terrestrial biodive…

  • Reply to

    Open Access•Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2020

  • Global hunger and climate change adaptation through international trade

    Open Access•Charlotte Janssens, Peter Havlík et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2020

  • An assessment of the potential of using carbon tax revenue to tackle poverty

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2020

    A carbon tax is one of the measures used to reduce GHG emissions, as it provides a strong political instrument for reaching the goal, stated in the Paris Agreement, of limiting the global mean temperature increase to well below 2 °C. While one aspect of a carbon tax is its ability to change income distribution, no quantitative assessment has been made within the context of global poverty. Here, we explore future poverty scenarios and show the ext…

  • The importance of socioeconomic conditions in mitigating climate change impacts and achieving Sustainable Development Goals

    Open Access•Jingyu Liu, Jing-Yu Liu et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2020

    Actions tackling with climate change can cause co-benefits and trade-offs with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) concerned with air pollution, water scarcity, food security, land use, and sustainable energy. Such interactions can be greatly influenced by socioeconomic conditions. The impacts of socioeconomic conditions on multiple SDGs have not been evaluated separately from climate policies. This paper employs a Representative Concentration P…

  • Measuring the sustainable development implications of climate change mitigation

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2020

    Synergies and trade-offs exist between climate mitigation actions and target indicators of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Some studies have assessed such relationships, but the degree of such interaction remains poorly understood. Here, we show the SDG implications associated with CO 2 emissions reductions. We developed ‘marginal SDG-emissions-reduction values (MSVs)’, which represent the marginal impacts on SDG indicators caused by a …

Siguiente
  • The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications

    Open Access•Keywan Riahi, Detlef P Van Vuuren et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 311•Referencias: 12

    This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible…

  • Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

    Open Access•Alexander Popp, Katherine Calvin et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 83•Referencias: 5

    Narratives for the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) focusing on the land sector are presented. • Integrated Assessment Models have been applied for the SSPs to assess potential future developments for land use, greenhouse gas emissions, food provision and prices. • Model results reflect the general storylines of the SSPs and indicate a broad range of potential land-use futures. • SSP-based land use pathways aim at supporting future climate r…

  • Ssp3

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 43•Referencias: 6

    This study quantifies the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) using AIM/CGE (Asia-Pacific Integrated Assessment/Computable General Equilibrium). SSP3 (regional rivalry) forms the main focus of the study, which is supposed to face high challenges both in mitigation and adaptation. The AIM model has been selected as the model to quantify the SSP3 marker scenario, a representative case illustrating a particular narrative. Multiple parameter assumpt…

  • Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways

    Open Access•Shilpa Rao, Zbigniew Klimont et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 23

    Emissions of air pollutants such as sulfur and nitrogen oxides and particulates have significant health impacts as well as effects on natural and anthropogenic ecosystems. These same emissions also can change atmospheric chemistry and the planetary energy balance, thereby impacting global and regional climate. Long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions are needed as inputs to global climate and chemistry models, and for analysis linking air …

  • The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity

    Open Access•Nuala Fitton, Peter Alexander et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2019•Citada por: 8•Referencias: 5

    We examine risks to current agricultural land to future changes in water availability. • We present a multiple model inter-comparison of future land demand and water availability. • Eleven percent of croplands and ten percent of grasslands are at risk from declining water availability. • Changes in diet and waste reduction offer a buffer against land loss and food insecurity. Rapidly increasing populations coupled with increased food demand requi…

  • Transdisciplinary co-design of scientific research agendas

    Open Access•M Sugiyama, Shinichiro Asayama et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2016•Citada por: 7•Referencias: 17

  • Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress

    Open Access•Willem‐Jan van Zeist, Willem-Jan van Zeist et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2020•Citada por: 4•Referencias: 1

  • Tackling food consumption inequality to fight hunger without pressuring the environment

    Open Access•Tomoko Hasegawa, Peter Havlík et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2019•Citada por: 4•Referencias: 2

  • A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2019•Citada por: 3•Referencias: 16

  • Impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on fire carbon emissions in the future

    Open Access•Chae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2023•Citada por: 2•Referencias: 2

    Fires and their associated carbon and air pollutant emissions have a broad range of environmental and societal impacts, including negative effects on human health, damage to terrestrial ecosystems, and indirect effects that promote climate change. Previous studies investigated future carbon emissions from the perspective of response to climate change and population growth, but the compound effects of other factors like economic development and la…

  • Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target

    Open Access•Shiya Zhao, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2022•Citada por: 2•Referencias: 9

    Many countries have taken stringent climate policies to minimize the risks by climate change. But these policies could burden households and the poor with the extra costs and threaten their wellbeing. However, the consequences of climate policies on poverty and welfare loss are seldom presented in stringent long-term climate change mitigation projections. Carbon pricing is a cost-effective approach; how it affects households varies among countrie…

  • Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions

    Open Access•Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2021•Citada por: 2•Referencias: 14

  • Potential side effects of climate change mitigation on poverty and countermeasures

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2023•Citada por: 1•Referencias: 14

    Many countries have set ambitious long-term emissions reduction targets for reaching the goal in alignment with the Paris Agreement. However, large-scale emission reduction efforts may influence poverty by various economic channels. Here, we show the extent to which climate change mitigation, excluding climate change impacts, has the potential to increase poverty, and have identified its factors such as income, price changes, and direct and indir…

  • The relationship between eating problems and personality of Japanese college students

    Open Access•Sumio Imada, H Setoyama et al.•ARTICLE•Appetite•2007

  • Land-use change trajectories up to 2050

    Open Access•Christoph Schmitz, Hans Van Meijl et al.•ARTICLE•Agricultural Economics•2014

    Changes in agricultural land use have important implications for environmental services. Previous studies of agricultural land-use futures have been published indicating large uncertainty due to different model assumptions and methodologies. In this article we present a first comprehensive comparison of global agro-economic models that have harmonized drivers of population, GDP, and biophysical yields. The comparison allows us to ask two research…

  • Climate change effects on agriculture

    Open Access•Gerald C Nelson, Hugo Valin et al.•ARTICLE•Proceedings of the National…•2014

    Significance Plausible estimates of climate change impacts on agriculture require integrated use of climate, crop, and economic models. We investigate the contribution of economic models to uncertainty in this impact chain. In the nine economic models included, the direction of management intensity, area, consumption, and international trade responses to harmonized crop yield shocks from climate change are similar. However, the magnitudes differ …

  • The future of food demand

    Open Access•Hugo Valin, Ronald D Sands et al.•ARTICLE•Agricultural Economics•2014

    Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). We compare food demand projections in 2050 for various regions and agricultural products under harmonized scenarios of socioeconomic developm…

  • Global-scale projection and its sensitivity analysis of the health burden attributable to childhood undernutrition under the latest scenario framework for climate change research

    Open Access•Hiroyuki Ishida, Shota Kobayashi et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2014

    This study assessed the health burden attributable to childhood underweight through 2050 focusing on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), by considering the latest scenarios for climate change studies (representative concentration pathways and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)) and conducting sensitivity analysis. A regression model for estimating DALYs attributable to childhood underweight (DAtU) was developed using the relationship betwee…

  • Scenarios for the risk of hunger in the twenty-first century using Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

    Open Access•Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2015

    Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are being developed internationally for cross-sectoral assessments of climate change impacts, adaptation, and mitigation. These are five scenarios that include both qualitative and quantitative information for mitigation and adaptation challenges to climate change. In this study, we quantified scenarios for the risk of hunger in the 21st century using SSPs, and clarified elements that influence future hunger r…

  • Will international emissions trading help achieve the objectives of the Paris Agreement

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Izumi Kubota et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2016

    Under the Paris Agreement, parties set and implement their own emissions targets as nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to tackle climate change. International carbon emissions trading is expected to reduce global mitigation costs. Here, we show the benefit of emissions trading under both NDCs and a more ambitious reduction scenario consistent with the 2 °C goal. The results show that the global welfare loss, which was measured based on es…

  • Transdisciplinary co-design of scientific research agendas

    Open Access•M Sugiyama, Shinichiro Asayama et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2016•Citada por: 7•Referencias: 17

  • Ssp3

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 43•Referencias: 6

    This study quantifies the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) using AIM/CGE (Asia-Pacific Integrated Assessment/Computable General Equilibrium). SSP3 (regional rivalry) forms the main focus of the study, which is supposed to face high challenges both in mitigation and adaptation. The AIM model has been selected as the model to quantify the SSP3 marker scenario, a representative case illustrating a particular narrative. Multiple parameter assumpt…

  • The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications

    Open Access•Keywan Riahi, Detlef P Van Vuuren et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 311•Referencias: 12

    This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible…

  • Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

    Open Access•Alexander Popp, Katherine Calvin et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 83•Referencias: 5

    Narratives for the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) focusing on the land sector are presented. • Integrated Assessment Models have been applied for the SSPs to assess potential future developments for land use, greenhouse gas emissions, food provision and prices. • Model results reflect the general storylines of the SSPs and indicate a broad range of potential land-use futures. • SSP-based land use pathways aim at supporting future climate r…

  • Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways

    Open Access•Shilpa Rao, Zbigniew Klimont et al.•ARTICLE•Global Environmental Change•2016•Citada por: 23

    Emissions of air pollutants such as sulfur and nitrogen oxides and particulates have significant health impacts as well as effects on natural and anthropogenic ecosystems. These same emissions also can change atmospheric chemistry and the planetary energy balance, thereby impacting global and regional climate. Long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions are needed as inputs to global climate and chemistry models, and for analysis linking air …

  • Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture without compromising food security

    Open Access•Stefan Frank, Peter Havlík et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2017

    To keep global warming possibly below 1.5 oC and mitigate adverse effects of climate change, agriculture, like all other sectors, will have to contribute to efforts in achieving net negative emissions by the end of the century. Cost-efficient distribution of mitigation across regions and economic sectors is typically calculated using a global uniform carbon price in climate stabilization scenarios. However, in reality such a carbon price would su…

  • Cost of preventing workplace heat-related illness through worker breaks and the benefit of climate-change mitigation

    Open Access•Jun’ya Takakura, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2017

    The exposure of workers to hot environments is expected to increase as a result of climate change. In order to prevent heat-related illness, it is recommended that workers take breaks during working hours. However, this would lead to reductions in worktime and labor productivity. In this study, we estimate the economic cost of heat-related illness prevention through worker breaks associated with climate change under a wide range of climatic and s…

  • Inclusive climate change mitigation and food security policy under 1.5 °C climate goal

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2018

    Climate change mitigation to limit warming to 1.5 C or well below 2 C, as suggested by the Paris Agreement, can rely on large-scale deployment of land-related measures (e.g. afforestation, or bioenergy production). This can increase food prices, and hence raises food security concerns. Here we show how an inclusive policy design can avoid these adverse side-effects. Food-security support through international aid, bioenergy tax, or domestic reall…

  • Health risks of warming of 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and higher, above pre-industrial temperatures

    Open Access•Kristie L Ebi, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2018

    Background : In response to the Paris Agreement under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the research community was asked to estimate differences in sectoral-specific risks at 1.5 °C and 2 °C increases in global mean surface air temperature (SAT) above pre-industrial temperatures. Projections of the health risks of climate change typically focus on time periods and not on the magnitude of temperature change. Objective : Su…

  • Avoided economic impacts of energy demand changes by 1.5 and 2 °C climate stabilization

    Open Access•Chan Park, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2018

    Energy demand associated with space heating and cooling is expected to be affected by climate change. There are several global projections of space heating and cooling use that take into consideration climate change, but a comprehensive uncertainty of socioeconomic and climate conditions, including a 1.5 C global mean temperature change, has never been assessed. This paper shows the economic impact of changes in energy demand for space heating an…

  • How do climate-related uncertainties influence 2 and 1.5 °C pathways

    Open Access•Xuanming Su, Hideo Shiogama et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2018•Referencias: 9

    We investigate how uncertainties in key parameters in the carbon cycle and climate system propagate to the costs of climate change mitigation and adaptation needed to achieve the 2 and 1.5 °C targets by 2100 using a stochastic version of the simple climate model for optimization (SCM4OPT), an integrated assessment model. For the 2 °C target, we find a difference in 2100 CO 2 emission levels of 20.5 GtCO 2 (- 1.2 GtCO 2 to 19.4 GtCO 2 ), whereas t…

  • Synergy potential between climate change mitigation and forest conservation policies in the Indonesian forest sector

    Open Access•Ken’ichi Matsumoto, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Sustainability Science•2018•Referencias: 14

  • Key determinants of global land-use projections

    Open Access•Elke Stehfest, Willem‐Jan van Zeist et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Communications•2019

    Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of these scenarios shows substantial heterogeneity in land-use projections. Here we build on a recently developed sensitivity approach to identify how future …

  • Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6

    Open Access•Matthew Gidden, Keywan Riahi et al.•ARTICLE•Geoscientific Model Development•2019

    We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated assessment model results for 14 different emissions species and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emi…

  • Identifying trade-offs and co-benefits of climate policies in China to align policies with SDGs and achieve the 2 °C goal

    Open Access•Jingyu Liu, Jing-Yu Liu et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2019

    The Paris Agreement set long-term global climate goals to pursue stabilization of the global mean temperature increase at below 2 °C (the so-called 2 °C goal). Individual countries submitted their own short-term targets, mostly for the year 2030. Meanwhile, the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs) were designed to help set multiple societal goals with respect to socioeconomic development, the environment, and other issues. Climate policies c…

  • Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

    Open Access•Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2019

    Clarifying characteristics of hazards and risks of climate change at 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming is important for understanding the implications of the Paris Agreement. We perform and analyze large ensembles of 2 °C and 1.5 °C warming simulations. In the 2 °C runs, we find substantial increases in extreme hot days, heavy rainfalls, high streamflow and labor capacity reduction related to heat stress. For example, about half of the world’s popul…

  • A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation

    Open Access•Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2019•Citada por: 3•Referencias: 16

  • Tackling food consumption inequality to fight hunger without pressuring the environment

    Open Access•Tomoko Hasegawa, Peter Havlík et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Sustainability•2019•Citada por: 4•Referencias: 2

Climate change (38 obras) · Economics (37 obras) · Natural resource economics (36 obras) · Environmental Science (34 obras) · Ecology (26 obras) · Geography (25 obras) · Climate Change Policy and Economics (21 obras) · Greenhouse gas (21 obras) · Environmental resource management (17 obras) · Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact (16 obras)

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