Decision-Making in the Face of Uncertainty
Attributions of Norwegian and American Officials
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 10153145 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Daniel Heradstveit (Norwegian Institute of International Affairs; The American University, Washington, D.C., autor de correspondencia), G Matthew Bonham (Norwegian Institute of International Affairs; The American University, Washington, D.C.) |
| Año | 1986 |
| Volumen | 23 |
| Número | 4 |
| Páginas | 339-356 |
| Fecha de publicación | 1986-12-01 |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Editorial | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/002234338602300404 |
| OpenAlex | W2124091496 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 2 |
| Referencias citadas | 35 |
Recent research suggests that when decision-makers are confronted with uncertainty they are more likely to engage in simple-minded thinking, such as the judgmental heuristics that have been studied by attribution theorists. In this article we examine how foreign policy decision-makers in Norway and the United States struggled with the uncertainties that surrounded a series of incidents in northern Norway involving Soviet ships. The analysis of cognitive maps based on open-ended interviews with the deci sion-makers reveals that their central beliefs influenced the way they processed information and made decisions. As predicted by attribution theory, Norwegians attributed their own actions to situational constraints, but they were more inclined to explain Soviet behavior as a function of dispositional factors. The American officials, on the other hand, interpreted Norwegian behavior dispositionally, and Soviet behavior situationally. The policy implications of the attribution behavior of the decision-makers sug gest a number of policy recommendations for both countries
Attribution · Autonomy · Deci · Economics · Face (sociological concept · Function (biology · Heuristics · Norwegian · Political science · Positive economics · Situational ethics · Social science · Sociology · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Law · Psychology · Risk Perception and Management · Social Psychology
Decision making
Ambiguity and choice in organizations
Judgment under Uncertainty
Presidential decisionmaking in foreign policy
The psychology of interpersonal relations.
Perception and Misperception in International Politics
The ‘Operational Code’
The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings
Origins of Containment
Attribution of success and failure revisited, or
Internasjonal Politikk
Actors, observers, and the attribution process
Attribution bias
Signals, Decisions, and Strategy
A Cognitive Model of Decision-making
Signals, Decisions, and Strategy
Psychological Constraints on Decision-making. A Discussion of Cognitive Approaches
The processes of causal attribution
Attributions in the sports pages
Failures in National Intelligence Estimates
The Arab-Israeli Conflict
"The "Operational Code
Cognitive Process and Foreign Policy Decision-Making
Ego involvement and attributions for success and failure
Self-serving biases in the attribution process
The perception of self and others
Effects of stereotypes in decision making and information-processing strategies
Just world research and the attribution process
Decision-Making Perspectives from Psychology
| Citas por año | 0,07 |
|---|---|
| Intervalo de citas | 1996 - 2011 (16) |
| Altamente citado | No |