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Does God Play Dice? The Spielraum Principle as an Approach to the Study of Probabilistic Plots in Fiction

Datos Bibliográficos

ID21780834
AutoresOksana Golovashina (0000-0002-9911-175X, autor de correspondencia)
Año2022
Volumen77
Número4
Páginas86-95
Fecha de publicación2022-01-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaUral Historical Journal (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 1728-9718
EditorialInstitute of History and Archaeology of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Science (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.30759/1728-9718-2022-4(77)-86-95
OpenAlexW4312334889
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas1
Referencias citadas5

The article considers the principle of ranges (Spielraum) of J. von Kries and its interpretation by M. Weber to analyze the eventual plots in fiction. It draws upon the works of Russian authors, referred to the genre of alternative history. In the first step, the author, analyzing the approaches to the study of probabilistic plots, notes that, thanks to the works of researchers, probabilistic plots began to be considered on the basis of their own logic, and alternativity was justified as a manifestation of objective relations of reality. The application of new methodological tools and the inclusion of fiction stories into the source circulation, in the author’s opinion, will increase interest in this topic and will contribute to the resolution of some methodological problems. The author addresses J. von Kries’s Spielraum principle, which is interpreted as a range of objective possibilities of a hypothesis or event. Thanks to the adaptation of this tool to the historical knowledge by M. Weber, it is possible to analyze what the emerged or imposed patterns of different choices that create such consequences are. This involves comparing the causal components of a historical episode that are actually present with a fictional course of events where one or more components are imagined to be absent, and comparing it with some ideal type. Applying this interpretation to the analysis of probabilistic plots in fiction makes it possible to: 1) show and substantiate the subjectivity of the researcher’s view; 2) consider the possibilities of developing an “interpretive history”; and 3) evaluate the role of works of fiction as a source for analyzing the dynamics of historical consciousness

Epistemology · Linguistics · Probabilistic logic · Sociology · Subjectivity · Economic Development and Digital Transformation · Economic, Social, and Public Health Issues in Russia and Globally · Philosophy

  • Does God Play Dice? The Spielraum Principle as an Approach to the Study of Probabilistic Plots in Fiction

    Open Access•Oksana Golovashina•Ural Historical Journal•2022

  • Basic concepts in sociology

    Max Weber•Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft•1968

  • Does God Play Dice? The Spielraum Principle as an Approach to the Study of Probabilistic Plots in Fiction

    Open Access•Oksana Golovashina•Ural Historical Journal•2022

  • Methods of Putting Forward Alternative Historical Hypotheses in Science and Beyond

    Valeriy Nekhamkin•Istoriya•2021

  • Max Weber’s Theory of Causality

    Open Access•Constantine Gaaze•Sotsiologicheskoe Obozrenie /…•2019

  • Exorcising Laplace's Demon

    Michael Shermer•History and Theory•1995

Obras citantes distintas1
Citas por año0,25
Intervalo de citas2022 - 2022 (1)
Velocidad de citaciónhistorical
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 1
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